Ferencvaros vs MTK Budapest Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Ferencvaros v MTK Budapest — Team-Based Signals
Ferencvaros vs MTK Budapest Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-6
HT 1-2
Ferencvaros
MAC
0-3
HT 0-0
MTK Budapest
MAC
Ferencvaros 3-1 MTK Budapest — Actual Match Statistics
Ferencvaros beat MTK Budapest 3-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Ferencvaros as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.
On the day, Ferencvaros had 60% of the ball to MTK Budapest's 40%, shots finished 12-11.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Ferencvaros had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.67 goals for Ferencvaros and 1.17 for MTK Budapest.
What was the final score of Ferencvaros vs MTK Budapest?
Ferencvaros 3-1 MTK Budapest in the Hungary - Cup on 23/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Ferencvaros vs MTK Budapest?
Before kick-off our model rated a Ferencvaros win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Ferencvaros 48%, draw 25%, MTK Budapest 27%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ferencvaros), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.