Tijuana vs Pachuca Prediction — Model Probabilities
Tijuana v Pachuca — Team-Based Signals
Tijuana vs Pachuca Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Tijuana 3-1 Pachuca — Actual Match Statistics
Tijuana beat Pachuca 3-1. Half-time: 2-0.
As we said in the preview, our model had Tijuana as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged both teams to score (56%), and that read landed as well.
By the numbers, possession split 57% to 43% in Tijuana's favour, shots finished 15-9, expected goals 3.05 to 0.59.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.83 a game for Tijuana against 1.83 for Pachuca.
Tijuana vs Pachuca Result & Final Score
Tijuana 3 - 1 Pachuca in the Mexico - Primera on 23/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Tijuana vs Pachuca Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Tijuana win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Tijuana 41%, draw 24%, Pachuca 34%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Tijuana), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.