Club America 0-0 Toluca — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Mexico - Primera, 23 May 2025

📅23/05/2025 · 🕒05:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.82
Draw
29%
3.45
Away
28%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.95
Over 2.5
46%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.73
No
52%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
20%
X/2
8%
X/X
16%
2/1
8%
2/2
14%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
51%
-7.6pp
29%
Draw
26%
+3.7pp
28%
Away Win
24%
+3.9pp
54%
Under 2.5
48%
+6.1pp
46%
Over 2.5
52%
-6.1pp
48%
BTTS Yes
54%
-6.3pp
52%
BTTS No
46%
+6.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Club America EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Toluca EU Bookmakers 27%
+3% / +22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / -11%
1.61/0.93 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.03/1.38
+4% / +27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / -5%
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
297 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 294 · 79%
23.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.7
16.8 Crosses 14.7
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Club America
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Toluca
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.97 xG 1.12
43% Ball Possession 57%
12 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
344 Passes 456
85% Pass Accuracy 87%
23 Box Touches 22
11 Crosses 17
1 Yellow Cards 1
02.03.2025 Club America Club America 3-0 HT 1-0 Toluca Toluca MEK
01.12.2024 Toluca Toluca 0-2 HT 0-0 Club America Club America MEK
28.11.2024 Club America Club America 2-0 HT 0-0 Toluca Toluca MEK
10.11.2024 Toluca Toluca 4-0 HT 1-0 Club America Club America MEK
14.04.2024 Club America Club America 5-1 HT 3-1 Toluca Toluca MEK
24.09.2023 Toluca Toluca 1-1 HT 0-1 Club America Club America MEK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Club America
0-0
AWAY Toluca
0.43 xG 0.51
60% Ball Possession 40%
7 Total Shots 8
1 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 2
410 Passes 250
85% Pass Accuracy 76%
24 Box Touches 12
16 Crosses 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Club America vs Toluca
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Club America and Toluca played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was Club America at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Club America had 60% of the ball to Toluca's 40%, shots finished 7-8, expected goals 0.43 to 0.51.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Club America had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Club America and 1.00 for Toluca.

What was the final score of Club America vs Toluca?

Club America 0-0 Toluca in the Mexico - Primera on 23/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Club America vs Toluca?

Before kick-off our model rated a Club America win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Club America 43%, draw 29%, Toluca 28%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Club America) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Club America) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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