Naestved 0-2 Thisted — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark - 2nd Division, 23 May 2026

📅23/05/2026 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
1.92
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
31%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.8
Over 2.5
41%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.76
No
51%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
15%
X/2
8%
X/X
9%
2/1
12%
2/2
17%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
48%
-5.6pp
27%
Draw
26%
+0.6pp
31%
Away Win
26%
+5.0pp
59%
Under 2.5
52%
+6.9pp
41%
Over 2.5
48%
-6.9pp
49%
BTTS Yes
53%
-3.9pp
51%
BTTS No
47%
+3.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Naestved EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Thisted EU Bookmakers 29%
-12% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +15% / +33%
1.59/1.86 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.22/1.10
+0% / -46% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +16% / +33%
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
353 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 303 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.3 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Naestved
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Thisted
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
64% Ball Possession 36%
12 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 1
11.04.2026 Thisted Thisted 2-0 HT 1-0 Naestved Naestved DAN2
09.11.2025 Thisted Thisted 1-2 HT 1-2 Naestved Naestved DAN2
14.09.2025 Naestved Naestved 0-2 HT 0-1 Thisted Thisted DAN2
09.03.2025 Naestved Naestved 2-1 Thisted Thisted DAN2
01.09.2024 Thisted Thisted 0-1 HT 0-1 Naestved Naestved DAN2
07.11.2021 Naestved Naestved 4-3 HT 2-1 Thisted Thisted DAN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Naestved
0-2
AWAY Thisted
57% Ball Possession 43%
7 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
POST-MATCH Naestved vs Thisted
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Thisted saw off Naestved 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Naestved at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (59%) came in.

On the day, Naestved had 57% of the ball to Thisted's 43%, shots finished 7-13.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Naestved had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Naestved and 1.50 for Thisted.

What was the final score of Naestved vs Thisted?

Naestved 0-2 Thisted in the Denmark - 2nd Division on 23/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Naestved vs Thisted?

Before kick-off our model rated a Naestved win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Naestved 42%, draw 27%, Thisted 31%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Naestved) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Naestved) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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