Paide Linnameeskond 1-5 FC Flora Tallinn — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Estonia - Cup, 23 May 2026

📅23/05/2026 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
3.17
Draw
16%
3.45
Away
42%
1.98
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
1.97
Over 2.5
56%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.66
No
51%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
9%
1/X
4%
X/1
11%
X/2
13%
X/X
6%
2/1
8%
2/2
20%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
28%
+14.2pp
16%
Draw
26%
-9.4pp
42%
Away Win
46%
-4.8pp
44%
Under 2.5
47%
-2.8pp
56%
Over 2.5
53%
+2.8pp
49%
BTTS Yes
56%
-7.6pp
51%
BTTS No
44%
+7.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Paide Linnameeskond EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY FC Flora Tallinn EU Bookmakers 50%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -60% / -60%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / +53%
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
264 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 353 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Paide Linnameeskond
3W-1D-2L
AWAY FC Flora Tallinn
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 3
26.04.2026 Paide Linnameeskond Paide Linnameeskond 1-2 HT 1-0 FC Flora Tallinn FC Flora Tallinn EST1
26.10.2025 Paide Linnameeskond Paide Linnameeskond 1-1 HT 1-0 FC Flora Tallinn FC Flora Tallinn EST1
21.06.2025 Paide Linnameeskond Paide Linnameeskond 2-1 HT 0-0 FC Flora Tallinn FC Flora Tallinn EST1
15.06.2025 FC Flora Tallinn FC Flora Tallinn 1-2 HT 1-2 Paide Linnameeskond Paide Linnameeskond EST1
18.04.2025 FC Flora Tallinn FC Flora Tallinn 1-0 HT 1-0 Paide Linnameeskond Paide Linnameeskond EST1
30.10.2024 FC Flora Tallinn FC Flora Tallinn 0-2 Paide Linnameeskond Paide Linnameeskond ESTK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Paide Linnameeskond
1-5
AWAY FC Flora Tallinn
49% Ball Possession 51%
5 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Paide Linnameeskond vs FC Flora Tallinn
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FC Flora Tallinn ran out comfortable winners over Paide Linnameeskond 5-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 42% / 16% / 42% — and on the day FC Flora Tallinn made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (56%) came in.

On the day, Paide Linnameeskond had 49% of the ball to FC Flora Tallinn's 51%, shots finished 5-12.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Paide Linnameeskond had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Paide Linnameeskond and 1.00 for FC Flora Tallinn.

What was the final score of Paide Linnameeskond vs FC Flora Tallinn?

Paide Linnameeskond 1-5 FC Flora Tallinn in the Estonia - Cup on 23/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Paide Linnameeskond vs FC Flora Tallinn?

Before kick-off our model rated a Paide Linnameeskond win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Paide Linnameeskond 42%, draw 16%, FC Flora Tallinn 42%. The final score 1-5 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (42/16/42) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →