NK Varazdin vs Istra 1961 Prediction — Model Probabilities
NK Varazdin v Istra 1961 — Team-Based Signals
NK Varazdin vs Istra 1961 Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
NK Varazdin 2-0 Istra 1961 — Actual Match Statistics
NK Varazdin took care of Istra 1961 2-0.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had NK Varazdin as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.
Neither goals market gave much away — over 2.5 sat at 48% and both teams to score at 51%.
Under the surface, Istra 1961 saw more of the ball, 59% to 41%, shots finished 12-11, expected goals 3.05 to 0.40.
The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Istra 1961 led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 0.33 a game for NK Varazdin against 1.00 for Istra 1961.
NK Varazdin vs Istra 1961 Result & Final Score
NK Varazdin 2 - 0 Istra 1961 in the Croatia - 1. HNL on 23/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
NK Varazdin vs Istra 1961 Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a NK Varazdin win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split NK Varazdin 53%, draw 27%, Istra 1961 20%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (NK Varazdin), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.