BVV Barendrecht 1-2 Excelsior Maassluis — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Tweede Divisie, 23 May 2026

📅23/05/2026 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.47
Draw
24%
3.72
Away
38%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
Over 2.5
57%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.43
No
40%
2.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
12%
X/2
10%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
23%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
36%
+1.4pp
24%
Draw
23%
+0.8pp
38%
Away Win
40%
-2.2pp
60%
BTTS Yes
66%
-5.6pp
40%
BTTS No
34%
+5.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME BVV Barendrecht EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Excelsior Maassluis EU Bookmakers 45%
+14% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -10%
2.07/1.78 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.58/1.60
+37% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / -2%
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
382 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 339 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME BVV Barendrecht
2W-0D-1L
AWAY Excelsior Maassluis
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 6
0 Yellow Cards 2
13.12.2025 Excelsior Maassluis Excelsior Maassluis 2-0 HT 1-0 BVV Barendrecht BVV Barendrecht HOLTW
18.01.2025 BVV Barendrecht BVV Barendrecht 2-0 HT 0-0 Excelsior Maassluis Excelsior Maassluis HOLTW
24.08.2024 Excelsior Maassluis Excelsior Maassluis 1-2 HT 0-1 BVV Barendrecht BVV Barendrecht HOLTW
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME BVV Barendrecht
1-2
AWAY Excelsior Maassluis
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 19
4 Shots on Target 9
4 Corners 3
POST-MATCH BVV Barendrecht vs Excelsior Maassluis
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Excelsior Maassluis nicked a narrow win over BVV Barendrecht 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (38% / 24% / 38%) promised a tight game; Excelsior Maassluis found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (60%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, BVV Barendrecht had 44% of the ball to Excelsior Maassluis's 56%, shots finished 10-19.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, BVV Barendrecht had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for BVV Barendrecht and 1.00 for Excelsior Maassluis.

What was the final score of BVV Barendrecht vs Excelsior Maassluis?

BVV Barendrecht 1-2 Excelsior Maassluis in the Netherlands - Tweede Divisie on 23/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for BVV Barendrecht vs Excelsior Maassluis?

Before kick-off our model rated a BVV Barendrecht win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split BVV Barendrecht 38%, draw 24%, Excelsior Maassluis 38%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (38/24/38) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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