HFX Wanderers 1-1 York United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kanada - Premier League, 23 May 2026

HFX Wanderers
1 - 1 HT 1 - 1
York United
📅23/05/2026 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 3-1 ✗
Kanada - Premier League – 2026

HFX Wanderers vs York United Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.45
Draw
29%
3.18
Away
35%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under
50%
1.87
Over
50%
1.87
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
55%
1.7
No
45%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1
26%
3.1
2-3
47%
1.72
4-5
22%
3.38
6+
5%
13.3
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
2%
1/X
6%
X/1
13%
X/2
13%
X/X
18%
2/1
2%
2/2
20%
2/X
6%
STRENGTH — pattern support: Good → Great · fuller bar = deeper record. Informational.
Our Pick = the view of our model: the outcome it rates most likely. A forecast, not a bet.

HFX Wanderers v York United — Team-Based Signals

SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME HFX Wanderers The Market 41%
Signal
AWAY York United The Market 39%
Average Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Strong
1.47 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 1.40
1.20 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 1.13
Average Attack Strength Average
Strong Defense Strength Great
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
350 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 329 · 78%
20 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18
17 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 3

HFX Wanderers vs York United Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME HFX Wanderers
2W-3D-1L
AWAY York United
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.45 xG 1.11
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
344 Passes 372
82% Pass Accuracy 83%
20 Box Touches 20
19 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 4
The Meetings
11.04.2026 York United York United 2-2 HT 1-0 HFX Wanderers HFX Wanderers KAPL
23.10.2025 HFX Wanderers HFX Wanderers 1-1 HT 1-0 York United York United KAPL
04.10.2025 HFX Wanderers HFX Wanderers 1-1 HT 1-0 York United York United KAPL
01.09.2025 HFX Wanderers HFX Wanderers 4-0 HT 2-0 York United York United KAPL
01.06.2025 York United York United 2-0 HT 1-0 HFX Wanderers HFX Wanderers KAPL
13.04.2025 York United York United 1-2 HT 1-0 HFX Wanderers HFX Wanderers KAPL

HFX Wanderers 1-1 York United — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME HFX Wanderers
1 - 1
AWAY York United
0.90 xG 1.24
39% Ball Possession 61%
11 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
240 Passes 420
78% Pass Accuracy 87%
12 Box Touches 18
20 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 2
REVIEW HFX Wanderers vs York United
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

HFX Wanderers and York United shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

A draw from a 36% / 29% / 35% read is the model being honest — some games really are too close to call. We had also flagged both teams to score (55%), and that read landed as well.

By the numbers, York United saw more of the ball, 61% to 39%, shots finished 11-16, expected goals 0.90 to 1.24.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, HFX Wanderers had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.67 a game for HFX Wanderers against 1.17 for York United.

HFX Wanderers vs York United Result & Final Score

HFX Wanderers 1 - 1 York United in the Kanada - Premier League on 23/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

HFX Wanderers vs York United Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a HFX Wanderers win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split HFX Wanderers 36%, draw 29%, York United 35%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (HFX Wanderers) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (HFX Wanderers) ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →