Yelimay Semey 2-1 Zhenys — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kazakistan - Super League, 23 May 2026

📅23/05/2026 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.86
Draw
23%
3.35
Away
25%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
1.74
Over 2.5
54%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.88
No
47%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
19%
X/2
9%
X/X
11%
2/1
5%
2/2
10%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
50%
+2.4pp
22%
Draw
26%
-4.1pp
25%
Away Win
24%
+1.7pp
46%
Under 2.5
54%
-7.5pp
54%
Over 2.5
46%
+7.5pp
53%
BTTS Yes
49%
+3.9pp
47%
BTTS No
51%
-3.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Yelimay Semey EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Zhenys EU Bookmakers 27%
+34% / +34% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +2%
1.54/0.54 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.02/1.46
+13% / +74% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / -11%
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
368 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 271 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Yelimay Semey
3W-0D-1L
AWAY Zhenys
1.25 Avg Goals (FT) 0.75
19.07.2025 Yelimay Semey Yelimay Semey 1-2 HT 1-0 Zhenys KAZP
20.04.2025 Zhenys 0-1 HT 0-0 Yelimay Semey Yelimay Semey KAZP
27.07.2024 Yelimay Semey Yelimay Semey 1-0 HT 0-0 Zhenys KAZP
04.05.2024 Zhenys 1-2 HT 0-0 Yelimay Semey Yelimay Semey KAZP
POST-MATCH Yelimay Semey vs Zhenys
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Yelimay Semey squeezed past Zhenys 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Yelimay Semey as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Yelimay Semey had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.25 goals for Yelimay Semey and 0.75 for Zhenys.

What was the final score of Yelimay Semey vs Zhenys?

Yelimay Semey 2-1 Zhenys in the Kazakistan - Super League on 23/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Yelimay Semey vs Zhenys?

Before kick-off our model rated a Yelimay Semey win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Yelimay Semey 52%, draw 22%, Zhenys 25%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Yelimay Semey), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Yelimay Semey) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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