Progreso 1-2 Torque — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Uruguay - Premier League, 23 May 2026

📅23/05/2026 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.47
Draw
29%
3.11
Away
39%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.67
Over 2.5
49%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.85
No
47%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
9%
1/X
7%
X/1
11%
X/2
9%
X/X
14%
2/1
7%
2/2
21%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
37%
-5.3pp
29%
Draw
29%
-0.4pp
40%
Away Win
34%
+5.7pp
51%
Under 2.5
56%
-4.7pp
49%
Over 2.5
44%
+4.7pp
53%
BTTS Yes
50%
+2.8pp
47%
BTTS No
50%
-2.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Progreso EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Torque EU Bookmakers 37%
+6% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +3%
1.29/0.97 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.34/1.12
+10% / +6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +21% / +2%
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
279 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 338 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.8 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Progreso
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Torque
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
45% Ball Possession 55%
9 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 3
4 Yellow Cards 3
10.05.2026 Torque Torque 2-1 HT 2-1 Progreso Progreso URU
01.11.2025 Progreso Progreso 0-5 HT 0-3 Torque Torque URU
13.06.2025 Torque Torque 3-1 HT 1-0 Progreso Progreso URU
04.05.2025 Torque Torque 2-3 HT 1-2 Progreso Progreso URU
29.10.2023 Progreso Progreso 1-1 HT 0-1 Torque Torque URUK
05.10.2022 Torque Torque 1-2 HT 1-2 Progreso Progreso URUK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Progreso
1-2
AWAY Torque
42% Ball Possession 58%
6 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 6
7 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Progreso vs Torque
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Torque edged past Progreso 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 32% / 29% / 40% — and on the day Torque made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Progreso had 42% of the ball to Torque's 58%, shots finished 6-11.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Torque led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Progreso and 2.33 for Torque.

What was the final score of Progreso vs Torque?

Progreso 1-2 Torque in the Uruguay - Premier League on 23/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Progreso vs Torque?

Before kick-off our model rated an Torque win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Progreso 32%, draw 29%, Torque 40%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Torque), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Torque) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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23 May 2026
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