Cerro Largo 3-0 Boston River — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Uruguay - Premier League, 23 May 2026

📅23/05/2026 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.18
Draw
30%
3.11
Away
30%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.67
Over 2.5
44%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.88
No
53%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
15%
X/2
9%
X/X
16%
2/1
6%
2/2
15%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
42%
-2.1pp
30%
Draw
29%
+1.0pp
30%
Away Win
29%
+1.1pp
56%
Under 2.5
56%
+0.3pp
44%
Over 2.5
44%
-0.3pp
47%
BTTS Yes
49%
-1.7pp
53%
BTTS No
51%
+1.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cerro Largo EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Boston River EU Bookmakers 32%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +3%
1.17/0.99 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.10/1.09
-6% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +9% / +10%
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
278 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 279 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.8 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cerro Largo
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Boston River
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 3
20.04.2026 Boston River Boston River 1-0 HT 0-0 Cerro Largo Cerro Largo URU
11.10.2025 Cerro Largo Cerro Largo 2-2 HT 2-0 Boston River Boston River URU
13.04.2025 Boston River Boston River 1-0 HT 1-0 Cerro Largo Cerro Largo URU
03.11.2024 Boston River Boston River 3-0 HT 2-0 Cerro Largo Cerro Largo URU
17.06.2024 Boston River Boston River 0-2 HT 0-1 Cerro Largo Cerro Largo URU
27.04.2024 Cerro Largo Cerro Largo 2-0 HT 1-0 Boston River Boston River URU
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cerro Largo
3-0
AWAY Boston River
45% Ball Possession 55%
9 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 1
1 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Cerro Largo vs Boston River
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cerro Largo cruised past Boston River 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 30% / 30% — and on the day Cerro Largo made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Cerro Largo had 45% of the ball to Boston River's 55%, shots finished 9-9.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Boston River led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Cerro Largo and 1.17 for Boston River.

What was the final score of Cerro Largo vs Boston River?

Cerro Largo 3-0 Boston River in the Uruguay - Premier League on 23/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cerro Largo vs Boston River?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cerro Largo win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Cerro Largo 40%, draw 30%, Boston River 30%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Cerro Largo), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Cerro Largo) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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