Seattle Sounders vs FC Dallas Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Seattle Sounders v FC Dallas — Team-Based Signals
Seattle Sounders vs FC Dallas Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-0
HT 1-0
FC Dallas
ABD
3-1
HT 2-0
Seattle Sounders
ABD
2-0
HT 1-0
FC Dallas
ABD
1-1
HT 1-0
Seattle Sounders
ABD
1-1
HT 1-1
FC Dallas
ABD
Seattle Sounders 3-2 FC Dallas — Actual Match Statistics
Seattle Sounders squeezed past FC Dallas 3-2. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Seattle Sounders as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.
On the day, Seattle Sounders had 57% of the ball to FC Dallas's 43%, shots finished 26-8, expected goals 2.01 to 0.79 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Seattle Sounders's control.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Seattle Sounders had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Seattle Sounders and 0.83 for FC Dallas.
What was the final score of Seattle Sounders vs FC Dallas?
Seattle Sounders 3-2 FC Dallas in the USA - Major League on 23/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Seattle Sounders vs FC Dallas?
Before kick-off our model rated a Seattle Sounders win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Seattle Sounders 55%, draw 22%, FC Dallas 24%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Seattle Sounders) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.