Jaro 1-1 Gnistan — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Finland - Veikkausliiga, 23 Jun 2026

Jaro
1-1 HT 0-1
Gnistan
📅23/06/2026 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
Finland - Veikkausliiga – 2026

Jaro vs Gnistan Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
3.17
Draw
30%
3.54
Away
43%
1.96
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.18
Over 2.5
54%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
63%
1.56
No
37%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
4.16
2-3 Goals
42%
1.84
4-5 Goals
27%
2.86
6+ Goals
10%
8.48
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
5.18
1/2 EV+ ✗
8%
21.4
1/X
10%
13.4
X/1
7%
7.58
X/2
20%
4.83
X/X
11%
5.44
2/1
5%
31.5
2/2
15%
2.59
2/X
9%
12.7
Value flag · 1/2 at 21.4 — our 8% vs market 2.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
28%
-0.6pp
30%
Draw
25%
+4.8pp
43%
Away Win
47%
-4.4pp
46%
Under 2.5
42%
+3.8pp
54%
Over 2.5
58%
-3.8pp
63%
BTTS Yes
60%
+2.6pp
37%
BTTS No
40%
-2.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Jaro v Gnistan — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Jaro EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Gnistan EU Bookmakers 51%
-1% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +1%
1.34/1.02 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.93/0.92
-17% / +1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +26% / +43%
47% Ball Possession 53%
14 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
266 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 328 · 79%
21.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 28.3
22.9 Crosses 16.9
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.4

Jaro vs Gnistan Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Jaro
1W-4D-1L
AWAY Gnistan
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.08 xG 1.73
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
240 Passes 297
69% Pass Accuracy 74%
18 Box Touches 32
17 Crosses 27
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
16.05.2026 Gnistan Gnistan 5-0 HT 1-0 Jaro Jaro FİN
31.08.2025 Gnistan Gnistan 1-2 HT 0-1 Jaro Jaro FİN
24.05.2025 Jaro Jaro 1-1 HT 1-1 Gnistan Gnistan FİN
20.08.2023 Gnistan Gnistan 1-1 HT 0-1 Jaro Jaro FİN2
19.07.2023 Jaro Jaro 2-2 HT 1-0 Gnistan Gnistan FİN2
12.08.2022 Gnistan Gnistan 2-2 HT 2-0 Jaro Jaro FİN2

Jaro 1-1 Gnistan — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Jaro
1-1
AWAY Gnistan
0.36 xG 1.06
56% Ball Possession 44%
9 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
432 Passes 322
84% Pass Accuracy 80%
9 Box Touches 25
21 Crosses 30
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Jaro vs Gnistan
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Jaro and Gnistan couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Gnistan at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged both teams to score (63%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Jaro had 56% of the ball to Gnistan's 44%, shots finished 9-11, expected goals 0.36 to 1.06.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Jaro and 2.00 for Gnistan.

What was the final score of Jaro vs Gnistan?

Jaro 1-1 Gnistan in the Finland - Veikkausliiga on 23/06/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Jaro vs Gnistan?

Before kick-off our model rated an Gnistan win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Jaro 28%, draw 30%, Gnistan 43%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Gnistan), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Gnistan) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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