KuPS Kuopio vs Ilves Tampere Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
KuPS Kuopio v Ilves Tampere — Team-Based Signals
KuPS Kuopio vs Ilves Tampere Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
KuPS Kuopio 4-3 Ilves Tampere — Actual Match Statistics
KuPS Kuopio edged past Ilves Tampere 4-3. Half-time: 4-1. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had KuPS Kuopio as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 4-3 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (55%) came in.
On the day, KuPS Kuopio had 51% of the ball to Ilves Tampere's 49%, shots finished 13-14, expected goals 3.35 to 2.12 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold KuPS Kuopio's control.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Ilves Tampere led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for KuPS Kuopio and 2.17 for Ilves Tampere.
What was the final score of KuPS Kuopio vs Ilves Tampere?
KuPS Kuopio 4-3 Ilves Tampere in the Finland - Veikkausliiga on 23/06/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for KuPS Kuopio vs Ilves Tampere?
Before kick-off our model rated a KuPS Kuopio win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split KuPS Kuopio 54%, draw 22%, Ilves Tampere 25%. The final score 4-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (KuPS Kuopio), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.