VPS 5-1 Oulu — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Finland - Veikkausliiga, 23 Jun 2026

VPS
5-1 HT 3-1
Oulu
📅23/06/2026 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.92
Draw
29%
3.35
Away
27%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.8
Over 2.5
45%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.76
No
51%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
3.0
2-3 Goals
43%
1.74
4-5 Goals
17%
3.62
6+ Goals
9%
15.25
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.0 — our 31% vs market 26.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
2.7
1/2
5%
34.0
1/X
8%
13.1
X/1
12%
4.58
X/2
11%
7.44
X/X
14%
4.51
2/1
8%
25.0
2/2
11%
5.69
2/X
7%
14.05
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
48%
-3.9pp
29%
Draw
26%
+2.3pp
27%
Away Win
26%
+1.6pp
55%
Under 2.5
52%
+3.6pp
45%
Over 2.5
48%
-3.6pp
49%
BTTS Yes
53%
-4.0pp
51%
BTTS No
47%
+4.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME VPS EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Oulu EU Bookmakers 29%
-3% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -8%
1.46/1.15 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.56/1.51
-10% / +4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +24% / -10%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
366 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 284 · 76%
24.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.1
23.2 Crosses 15.8
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME VPS
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Oulu
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
1.44 xG 1.19
53% Ball Possession 47%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
300 Passes 255
75% Pass Accuracy 73%
20 Box Touches 22
18 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 2
18.04.2026 Oulu Oulu 1-0 HT 0-0 VPS VPS FİN
24.01.2026 VPS VPS 1-4 HT 1-1 Oulu Oulu FLK
04.10.2025 Oulu Oulu 2-0 HT 1-0 VPS VPS FİN
28.06.2025 Oulu Oulu 2-1 HT 1-1 VPS VPS FİN
05.04.2025 VPS VPS 4-3 HT 0-2 Oulu Oulu FİN
08.02.2025 VPS VPS 2-1 HT 1-1 Oulu Oulu FLK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME VPS
5-1
AWAY Oulu
2.61 xG 0.34
60% Ball Possession 40%
14 Total Shots 6
9 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 3
484 Passes 296
85% Pass Accuracy 79%
24 Box Touches 13
9 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH VPS vs Oulu
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

VPS ran out comfortable winners over Oulu 5-1. Half-time: 3-1. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had VPS as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 5-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, VPS had 60% of the ball to Oulu's 40%, shots finished 14-6, expected goals 2.61 to 0.34.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Oulu led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for VPS and 2.17 for Oulu.

What was the final score of VPS vs Oulu?

VPS 5-1 Oulu in the Finland - Veikkausliiga on 23/06/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for VPS vs Oulu?

Before kick-off our model rated a VPS win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split VPS 44%, draw 29%, Oulu 27%. The final score 5-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (VPS) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (VPS) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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