Oulu 1-0 VPS — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Finland - Veikkausliiga, 18 Apr 2026

Oulu
1-0 HT 0-0
VPS
📅18/04/2026 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.64
Draw
26%
3.64
Away
27%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.91
Over 2.5
48%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.82
No
48%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
3.33
2-3 Goals
45%
1.76
4-5 Goals
19%
3.32
6+ Goals
9%
12.4
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
2.1
1/2
6%
34.0
1/X EV+ ✗
12%
14.3
X/1
19%
4.15
X/2
6%
9.88
X/X
9%
5.15
2/1
9%
23.1
2/2
15%
7.98
2/X
6%
16.0
Value flag · 1/X at 14.3 — our 12% vs market 4.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
57%
-10.1pp
26%
Draw
24%
+2.2pp
27%
Away Win
19%
+7.9pp
52%
Under 2.5
48%
+3.9pp
48%
Over 2.5
52%
-4.0pp
52%
BTTS Yes
51%
+1.4pp
48%
BTTS No
49%
-1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Oulu EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY VPS EU Bookmakers 22%
+7% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +34%
1.55/0.89 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.15/1.50
+0% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +23% / +44%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
374 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 331 · 80%
23.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.0
17.8 Crosses 15.3
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Oulu
3W-1D-2L
AWAY VPS
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.30 xG 1.49
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
267 Passes 351
76% Pass Accuracy 80%
22 Box Touches 20
14 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 1
24.01.2026 VPS VPS 1-4 HT 1-1 Oulu Oulu FLK
04.10.2025 Oulu Oulu 2-0 HT 1-0 VPS VPS FİN
28.06.2025 Oulu Oulu 2-1 HT 1-1 VPS VPS FİN
05.04.2025 VPS VPS 4-3 HT 0-2 Oulu Oulu FİN
08.02.2025 VPS VPS 2-1 HT 1-1 Oulu Oulu FLK
19.06.2024 VPS VPS 1-1 HT 1-1 Oulu Oulu FİN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Oulu
1-0
AWAY VPS
0.60 xG 0.76
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 1
6 Corners 6
236 Passes 233
67% Pass Accuracy 66%
15 Box Touches 28
18 Crosses 28
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Oulu vs VPS
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Oulu squeezed past VPS 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Oulu as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Oulu had 49% of the ball to VPS's 51%, shots finished 12-11, expected goals 0.60 to 0.76.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Oulu had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Oulu and 1.50 for VPS.

What was the final score of Oulu vs VPS?

Oulu 1-0 VPS in the Finland - Veikkausliiga on 18/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Oulu vs VPS?

Before kick-off our model rated a Oulu win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Oulu 47%, draw 26%, VPS 27%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Oulu), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Oulu) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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