IFK Mariehamn 2-2 Ilves Tampere — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Finland - Veikkausliiga, 18 Apr 2026

📅18/04/2026 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-3 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
19%
5.09
Draw
23%
4.19
Away
58%
1.49
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.21
Over 2.5
58%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.75
No
50%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
4.2
2-3 Goals
37%
1.84
4-5 Goals
31%
2.85
6+ Goals
8%
8.36
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
6%
9.53
1/2
5%
20.5
1/X
6%
17.75
X/1
7%
12.1
X/2
18%
4.04
X/X
13%
6.35
2/1
6%
34.0
2/2
35%
1.8
2/X
4%
15.7
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
19%
Home Win
17%
+2.9pp
23%
Draw
21%
+2.1pp
58%
Away Win
63%
-5.0pp
42%
Under 2.5
41%
+0.5pp
58%
Over 2.5
59%
-0.5pp
50%
BTTS Yes
53%
-2.7pp
50%
BTTS No
47%
+2.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME IFK Mariehamn EU Bookmakers 20%
Head to Head
AWAY Ilves Tampere EU Bookmakers 67%
+7% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +6%
0.88/1.91 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.44/1.03
+5% / +32% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +30% / +2%
40% Ball Possession 60%
10 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
248 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 467 · 83%
17.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 38.0
16.0 Crosses 18.5
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME IFK Mariehamn
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Ilves Tampere
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.11 xG 1.89
41% Ball Possession 59%
10 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 7
306 Passes 479
80% Pass Accuracy 85%
18 Box Touches 38
11 Crosses 20
1 Yellow Cards 1
31.08.2025 Ilves Tampere Ilves Tampere 2-1 HT 0-0 IFK Mariehamn IFK Mariehamn FİN
27.04.2025 IFK Mariehamn IFK Mariehamn 3-2 HT 2-0 Ilves Tampere Ilves Tampere FİN
11.08.2024 Ilves Tampere Ilves Tampere 2-0 HT 1-0 IFK Mariehamn IFK Mariehamn FİN
28.04.2024 IFK Mariehamn IFK Mariehamn 0-1 HT 0-0 Ilves Tampere Ilves Tampere FİN
27.09.2023 Ilves Tampere Ilves Tampere 2-1 HT 1-1 IFK Mariehamn IFK Mariehamn FİN
15.07.2023 Ilves Tampere Ilves Tampere 0-0 HT 0-0 IFK Mariehamn IFK Mariehamn FİN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME IFK Mariehamn
2-2
AWAY Ilves Tampere
1.44 xG 1.17
49% Ball Possession 51%
17 Total Shots 15
8 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
391 Passes 417
83% Pass Accuracy 83%
28 Box Touches 31
23 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 3
FAQ IFK Mariehamn vs Ilves Tampere
Match summary & frequently asked questions

IFK Mariehamn and Ilves Tampere shared the points in a 2-2 draw in the Finland - Veikkausliiga on 18 Apr 2026. Half-time: 1-1.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 58% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, IFK Mariehamn had 49% of the ball to Ilves Tampere's 51%, shots finished 17-15, expected goals 1.44 to 1.17.

Across their last 6 meetings in our records, Ilves Tampere lead the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for IFK Mariehamn and 1.50 for Ilves Tampere.

What was the final score of IFK Mariehamn vs Ilves Tampere?

IFK Mariehamn 2-2 Ilves Tampere in the Finland - Veikkausliiga on 18/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for IFK Mariehamn vs Ilves Tampere?

Before kick-off our model rated an Ilves Tampere win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split IFK Mariehamn 19%, draw 23%, Ilves Tampere 58%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Ilves Tampere) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Ilves Tampere) ✓ Over 2.5
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