Jaro 1-1 KuPS Kuopio — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Finland - Veikkausliiga, 18 Apr 2026

📅18/04/2026 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
23%
4.48
Draw
24%
3.8
Away
53%
1.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.18
Over 2.5
49%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.7
No
45%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
4.07
2-3 Goals
42%
1.83
4-5 Goals
18%
2.91
6+ Goals
12%
8.81
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
7.98
1/2 EV+ ✗
10%
20.85
1/X
6%
15.8
X/1
6%
10.45
X/2
24%
4.23
X/X
11%
5.82
2/1
6%
34.0
2/2
19%
2.0
2/X
8%
14.15
Value flag · 1/2 at 20.85 — our 10% vs market 2.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
23%
Home Win
19%
+3.8pp
24%
Draw
23%
+1.2pp
53%
Away Win
58%
-4.9pp
51%
Under 2.5
42%
+8.8pp
49%
Over 2.5
58%
-8.8pp
55%
BTTS Yes
55%
+0.7pp
45%
BTTS No
45%
-0.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Jaro EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY KuPS Kuopio EU Bookmakers 62%
-15% / -19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +8%
1.11/1.56 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.33/0.98
-35% / -21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / +34%
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
208 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 419 · 82%
18.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 45.0
20.8 Crosses 29.2
2.1 Yellow Cards 0.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Jaro
1W-1D-4L
AWAY KuPS Kuopio
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
1.55 xG 1.88
41% Ball Possession 59%
9 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 7
268 Passes 484
79% Pass Accuracy 88%
10 Box Touches 40
16 Crosses 30
2 Yellow Cards 2
22.02.2026 KuPS Kuopio KuPS Kuopio 3-4 HT 0-1 Jaro Jaro FLK
10.09.2025 KuPS Kuopio KuPS Kuopio 2-0 HT 1-0 Jaro Jaro FİK
24.08.2025 Jaro Jaro 1-3 HT 1-1 KuPS Kuopio KuPS Kuopio FİN
19.04.2025 KuPS Kuopio KuPS Kuopio 1-0 HT 0-0 Jaro Jaro FİN
08.02.2025 Jaro Jaro 0-0 HT 0-0 KuPS Kuopio KuPS Kuopio FLK
09.03.2024 KuPS Kuopio KuPS Kuopio 4-1 Jaro Jaro HAZ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Jaro
1-1
AWAY KuPS Kuopio
33% Ball Possession 67%
8 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 6
230 Passes 546
74% Pass Accuracy 87%
POST-MATCH Jaro vs KuPS Kuopio
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Jaro and KuPS Kuopio shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was KuPS Kuopio at 53%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged both teams to score (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Jaro had 33% of the ball to KuPS Kuopio's 67%, shots finished 8-8.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, KuPS Kuopio led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Jaro and 2.17 for KuPS Kuopio.

What was the final score of Jaro vs KuPS Kuopio?

Jaro 1-1 KuPS Kuopio in the Finland - Veikkausliiga on 18/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Jaro vs KuPS Kuopio?

Before kick-off our model rated an KuPS Kuopio win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Jaro 23%, draw 24%, KuPS Kuopio 53%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (KuPS Kuopio) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (KuPS Kuopio) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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