Tobol 2-0 FK Turan — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kazakistan - Super League, 23 Aug 2025

📅23/08/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
79%
1.22
Draw
11%
5.28
Away
10%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
38%
2.23
Over 2.5
62%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.27
No
55%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
51%
1/2
3%
1/X
4%
X/1
19%
X/2
4%
X/X
3%
2/1
9%
2/2
3%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
79%
Home Win
78%
+1.4pp
11%
Draw
16%
-5.2pp
10%
Away Win
7%
+3.8pp
38%
Under 2.5
41%
-3.0pp
62%
Over 2.5
59%
+3.1pp
45%
BTTS Yes
40%
+5.1pp
55%
BTTS No
60%
-5.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tobol EU Bookmakers 82%
Head to Head
AWAY FK Turan EU Bookmakers 9%
-2% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / -6%
2.01/0.74 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.59/2.75
-19% / +3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -29% / -23%
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
432 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 239 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tobol
5W-1D-0L
AWAY FK Turan
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
70% Ball Possession 30%
12 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 4
25.05.2025 FK Turan FK Turan 1-2 HT 0-1 Tobol Tobol KAZP
14.05.2025 FK Turan FK Turan 0-2 HT 0-0 Tobol Tobol KAZKK
23.10.2024 FK Turan FK Turan 0-2 HT 0-1 Tobol Tobol KAZP
02.03.2024 Tobol Tobol 2-0 HT 1-0 FK Turan FK Turan KAZP
01.07.2022 FK Turan FK Turan 2-2 HT 0-0 Tobol Tobol KAZP
04.04.2022 Tobol Tobol 3-0 HT 1-0 FK Turan FK Turan KAZP
POST-MATCH Tobol vs FK Turan
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tobol beat FK Turan 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Tobol as the likeliest winner at 79%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (55%) landed while over 2.5 goals (62%) missed.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Tobol had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Tobol and 0.50 for FK Turan.

What was the final score of Tobol vs FK Turan?

Tobol 2-0 FK Turan in the Kazakistan - Super League on 23/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tobol vs FK Turan?

Before kick-off our model rated a Tobol win the most likely single outcome at about 79%, with the full match-result split Tobol 79%, draw 11%, FK Turan 10%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Tobol), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Tobol) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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