Zhenys 3-2 FC Astana — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kazakistan - Super League, 23 Aug 2025

📅23/08/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
23%
4.71
Draw
23%
3.64
Away
54%
1.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.74
Over 2.5
42%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.03
No
58%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
38%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
13%
1/X
7%
X/1
11%
X/2
18%
X/X
8%
2/1
4%
2/2
23%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
23%
Home Win
18%
+5.2pp
22%
Draw
24%
-1.8pp
54%
Away Win
58%
-3.4pp
58%
Under 2.5
54%
+4.5pp
42%
Over 2.5
46%
-4.5pp
42%
BTTS Yes
45%
-2.8pp
58%
BTTS No
55%
+2.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Zhenys EU Bookmakers 21%
Head to Head
AWAY FC Astana EU Bookmakers 62%
-15% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -14%
0.76/1.39 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.43/0.54
-10% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -14% / +68%
44% Ball Possession 56%
9 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
237 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 357 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 3.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Zhenys
0W-2D-3L
AWAY FC Astana
0.80 Avg Goals (FT) 1.80
24.05.2025 FC Astana FC Astana 4-2 HT 1-2 Zhenys KAZP
14.05.2025 Zhenys 1-1 HT 0-0 FC Astana FC Astana KAZKK
29.09.2024 Zhenys 1-1 HT 0-0 FC Astana FC Astana KAZP
13.04.2024 Zhenys 0-1 HT 0-1 FC Astana FC Astana KAZKK
01.03.2024 FC Astana FC Astana 2-0 HT 1-0 Zhenys KAZP
POST-MATCH Zhenys vs FC Astana
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Zhenys squeezed past FC Astana 3-2. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was FC Astana at 54%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, FC Astana led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.80 goals for Zhenys and 1.80 for FC Astana.

What was the final score of Zhenys vs FC Astana?

Zhenys 3-2 FC Astana in the Kazakistan - Super League on 23/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Zhenys vs FC Astana?

Before kick-off our model rated an FC Astana win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Zhenys 23%, draw 22%, FC Astana 54%. The final score 3-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (FC Astana) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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