Yelimay Semey 2-0 Kyzyl-Zhar — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kazakistan - Super League, 23 Aug 2025

📅23/08/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.49
Draw
24%
3.8
Away
19%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.78
Over 2.5
49%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
2.09
No
42%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
48%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
23%
X/2
7%
X/X
9%
2/1
8%
2/2
7%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
63%
-5.8pp
24%
Draw
23%
+1.4pp
19%
Away Win
15%
+4.3pp
51%
Under 2.5
52%
-1.6pp
49%
Over 2.5
48%
+1.6pp
58%
BTTS Yes
44%
+13.8pp
42%
BTTS No
56%
-13.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Yelimay Semey EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Kyzyl-Zhar EU Bookmakers 18%
+6% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +4%
2.12/0.50 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.72/1.24
+15% / +74% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -22% / +38%
58% Ball Possession 42%
13 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 2
354 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 279 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Yelimay Semey
2W-3D-0L
AWAY Kyzyl-Zhar
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.60
25.05.2025 Kyzyl-Zhar Kyzyl-Zhar 1-1 HT 1-1 Yelimay Semey Yelimay Semey KAZP
14.05.2025 Kyzyl-Zhar Kyzyl-Zhar 0-0 HT 0-0 Yelimay Semey Yelimay Semey KAZKK
24.08.2024 Yelimay Semey Yelimay Semey 2-1 HT 0-1 Kyzyl-Zhar Kyzyl-Zhar KAZP
02.06.2024 Kyzyl-Zhar Kyzyl-Zhar 1-1 HT 0-0 Yelimay Semey Yelimay Semey KAZP
08.05.2024 Yelimay Semey Yelimay Semey 1-0 HT 0-0 Kyzyl-Zhar Kyzyl-Zhar KAZKK
POST-MATCH Yelimay Semey vs Kyzyl-Zhar
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Yelimay Semey saw off Kyzyl-Zhar 2-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Yelimay Semey as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — both teams to score (58%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Yelimay Semey had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Yelimay Semey and 0.60 for Kyzyl-Zhar.

What was the final score of Yelimay Semey vs Kyzyl-Zhar?

Yelimay Semey 2-0 Kyzyl-Zhar in the Kazakistan - Super League on 23/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Yelimay Semey vs Kyzyl-Zhar?

Before kick-off our model rated a Yelimay Semey win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Yelimay Semey 57%, draw 24%, Kyzyl-Zhar 19%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Yelimay Semey), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Yelimay Semey) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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