New York Red Bulls vs Chicago Fire Prediction, Probabilities & Odds — USA - Major League, 23 Aug 2026

📅23/08/2026 · 🕒02:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
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MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.57
Draw
24%
3.72
Away
43%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
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Both Teams to Score
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Total Goals
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Half Time / Full Time
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STRENGTH — green bars inside a box show the pattern support behind that selection, from Good · Strong · Very strong to Great — the deeper the historical record, the fuller the bar; informational, not a sized bet.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME New York Red Bulls
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Chicago Fire
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.27 xG 1.52
43% Ball Possession 57%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
316 Passes 446
78% Pass Accuracy 83%
21 Box Touches 22
14 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 2
09.05.2026 Chicago Fire Chicago Fire 1-3 HT 0-1 New York Red Bulls New York Red Bulls ABD
27.07.2025 Chicago Fire Chicago Fire 1-0 HT 1-0 New York Red Bulls New York Red Bulls ABD
06.04.2025 New York Red Bulls New York Red Bulls 2-1 HT 2-1 Chicago Fire Chicago Fire ABD
15.09.2024 Chicago Fire Chicago Fire 2-1 HT 1-0 New York Red Bulls New York Red Bulls ABD
14.04.2024 New York Red Bulls New York Red Bulls 0-0 HT 0-0 Chicago Fire Chicago Fire ABD
01.10.2023 New York Red Bulls New York Red Bulls 0-1 HT 0-0 Chicago Fire Chicago Fire ABD
PREVIEW New York Red Bulls vs Chicago Fire
IDDAAKOLIK MATCH PREVIEW

Chicago Fire edge the probabilities without dominating them — the sort of game that punishes overconfidence.

Both teams have scored in 4 of Chicago Fire's last 5 away league games.

The rivalry ledger says that across their last 6 meetings in our records, Chicago Fire lead the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for New York Red Bulls and 1.00 for Chicago Fire.

New York Red Bulls vs Chicago Fire Kick-off Time

New York Red Bulls play Chicago Fire in the USA - Major League on 23/08/2026, kick-off 02:30 (Istanbul · GMT+3).

New York Red Bulls vs Chicago Fire Match Prediction & Odds

Our model's prediction for New York Red Bulls vs Chicago Fire is an Chicago Fire win at about 43% probability, priced 2.16 at EU bookmakers. The full match-result split is New York Red Bulls 33%, draw 23%, Chicago Fire 43%. These are probability estimates, not certainties — the most likely outcome still loses much of the time.

Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
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