VVV-Venlo vs De Graafschap Prediction, Probabilities & Odds — Netherlands - Eerste Divisie, 23 Aug 2026

📅23/08/2026 · 🕒17:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
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MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
2.8
Draw
22%
3.64
Away
48%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
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Both Teams to Score
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Total Goals
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STRENGTH — green bars inside a box show the pattern support behind that selection, from Good · Strong · Very strong to Great — the deeper the historical record, the fuller the bar; informational, not a sized bet.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME VVV-Venlo
2W-1D-3L
AWAY De Graafschap
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
2.18 xG 1.89
48% Ball Possession 52%
15 Total Shots 17
5 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 8
284 Passes 325
77% Pass Accuracy 80%
28 Box Touches 32
24 Crosses 19
1 Yellow Cards 1
11.04.2026 VVV-Venlo VVV-Venlo 3-3 HT 0-1 De Graafschap De Graafschap HOL2
08.08.2025 De Graafschap De Graafschap 3-2 HT 2-1 VVV-Venlo VVV-Venlo HOL2
28.04.2025 VVV-Venlo VVV-Venlo 3-1 HT 0-0 De Graafschap De Graafschap HOL2
01.12.2024 De Graafschap De Graafschap 3-1 HT 2-0 VVV-Venlo VVV-Venlo HOL2
26.01.2024 De Graafschap De Graafschap 3-0 HT 1-0 VVV-Venlo VVV-Venlo HOL2
01.09.2023 VVV-Venlo VVV-Venlo 2-0 HT 1-0 De Graafschap De Graafschap HOL2
PREVIEW VVV-Venlo vs De Graafschap
IDDAAKOLIK MATCH PREVIEW

The model tilts towards De Graafschap, but not by enough to write VVV-Venlo off.

Over 2.5 goals has landed in 4 of VVV-Venlo's last 5 home league games; meanwhile, both teams have scored in 4 of De Graafschap's last 5 away league games.

Across their last 6 meetings in our records, De Graafschap lead the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for VVV-Venlo and 2.17 for De Graafschap.

VVV-Venlo vs De Graafschap Kick-off Time

VVV-Venlo play De Graafschap in the Netherlands - Eerste Divisie on 23/08/2026, kick-off 17:45 (Istanbul · GMT+3).

VVV-Venlo vs De Graafschap Match Prediction & Odds

Our model's prediction for VVV-Venlo vs De Graafschap is an De Graafschap win at about 48% probability, priced 2.11 at EU bookmakers. The full match-result split is VVV-Venlo 30%, draw 22%, De Graafschap 48%. These are probability estimates, not certainties — the most likely outcome still loses much of the time.

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