Melgar vs Alianza Lima Prediction — Model Probabilities
Melgar v Alianza Lima — Team-Based Signals
Melgar vs Alianza Lima Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
The model tilts towards Melgar, but not by enough to write Alianza Lima off.
Melgar have won 4 of their last 5 home league games, while over 2.5 goals has landed in just 0 of Alianza Lima's last 5 away league games.
The rivalry ledger says that across their last 6 meetings in our records, Alianza Lima lead the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 0.83 a game for Melgar against 1.17 for Alianza Lima.
Melgar vs Alianza Lima Kick-off Time
Melgar play Alianza Lima in the Peru - Premier League on 23/08/2026, kick-off 23:30 (Istanbul · GMT+3).
Melgar vs Alianza Lima Match Prediction & Odds
Our model's prediction for Melgar vs Alianza Lima is a Melgar win at about 44% probability, priced 2.02 at EU bookmakers. The full match-result split is Melgar 44%, draw 26%, Alianza Lima 30%. These are probability estimates, not certainties — the most likely outcome still loses much of the time.