Universitario de Vinto 4-3 Nacional Potosi — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bolivia - Profesyonel League Cup, 23 Oct 2025

📅23/10/2025 · 🕒01:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
2.09
Draw
23%
3.35
Away
29%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.03
Over 2.5
50%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.61
No
49%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
8%
1/X
5%
X/1
19%
X/2
8%
X/X
12%
2/1
10%
2/2
13%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
44%
+3.3pp
23%
Draw
26%
-3.1pp
29%
Away Win
30%
-0.3pp
50%
Under 2.5
45%
+5.1pp
50%
Over 2.5
55%
-5.1pp
51%
BTTS Yes
58%
-6.5pp
49%
BTTS No
42%
+6.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Universitario de Vinto EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Nacional Potosi EU Bookmakers 33%
-2% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -42% / -42%
0.79/1.02 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.50/1.94
+28% / +27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / +69%
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
269 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 299 · 77%
21.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.0
16.9 Crosses 30.0
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Universitario de Vinto
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Nacional Potosi
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.41 xG 1.22
51% Ball Possession 49%
15 Total Shots 13
7 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
297 Passes 282
81% Pass Accuracy 79%
18 Box Touches 18
16 Crosses 20
3 Yellow Cards 2
08.10.2025 Nacional Potosi Nacional Potosi 0-0 HT 0-0 Universitario de Vinto Universitario de Vinto BOLPLK
13.08.2025 Nacional Potosi Nacional Potosi 5-1 HT 3-1 Universitario de Vinto Universitario de Vinto BOLİ
05.03.2025 Universitario de Vinto Universitario de Vinto 0-1 HT 0-1 Nacional Potosi Nacional Potosi CSA
21.12.2024 Nacional Potosi Nacional Potosi 1-2 HT 0-1 Universitario de Vinto Universitario de Vinto BOLİ
20.09.2024 Universitario de Vinto Universitario de Vinto 0-1 HT 0-0 Nacional Potosi Nacional Potosi BOLİ
17.04.2024 Universitario de Vinto Universitario de Vinto 3-1 HT 0-0 Nacional Potosi Nacional Potosi BOLİ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Universitario de Vinto
4-3
AWAY Nacional Potosi
1.51 xG 3.13
47% Ball Possession 53%
13 Total Shots 26
6 Shots on Target 9
5 Corners 7
281 Passes 332
85% Pass Accuracy 87%
15 Box Touches 36
14 Crosses 22
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Universitario de Vinto vs Nacional Potosi
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Universitario de Vinto edged past Nacional Potosi 4-3. Half-time: 2-0. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Universitario de Vinto as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 4-3 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Universitario de Vinto had 47% of the ball to Nacional Potosi's 53%, shots finished 13-26, expected goals 1.51 to 3.13 — the balance of chances actually favoured Nacional Potosi.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Nacional Potosi led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Universitario de Vinto and 1.50 for Nacional Potosi.

What was the final score of Universitario de Vinto vs Nacional Potosi?

Universitario de Vinto 4-3 Nacional Potosi in the Bolivia - Profesyonel League Cup on 23/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Universitario de Vinto vs Nacional Potosi?

Before kick-off our model rated a Universitario de Vinto win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Universitario de Vinto 47%, draw 23%, Nacional Potosi 29%. The final score 4-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Universitario de Vinto), BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Universitario de Vinto) ✓ BTTS Yes
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