Nürnberg II 3-3 Viktoria Aschaffenburg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 23 Nov 2024

📅23/11/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.76
Draw
26%
3.64
Away
28%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.03
Over 2.5
52%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.7
No
43%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
13%
X/2
8%
X/X
13%
2/1
10%
2/2
14%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
52%
-6.8pp
27%
Draw
24%
+2.6pp
28%
Away Win
24%
+4.3pp
48%
Under 2.5
45%
+2.9pp
52%
Over 2.5
55%
-2.9pp
57%
BTTS Yes
55%
+1.9pp
43%
BTTS No
45%
-1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nürnberg II EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Viktoria Aschaffenburg EU Bookmakers 27%
-2% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / -11%
2.45/1.21 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.97/1.38
+26% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -23% / +22%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
284 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 270 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses 12.0
2.6 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nürnberg II
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Viktoria Aschaffenburg
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 2
10.08.2024 Viktoria Aschaffenburg Viktoria Aschaffenburg 3-1 HT 2-0 Nürnberg II Nürnberg II ALMBÖL
17.03.2024 Nürnberg II Nürnberg II 4-1 HT 1-1 Viktoria Aschaffenburg Viktoria Aschaffenburg ALMBÖL
01.09.2023 Viktoria Aschaffenburg Viktoria Aschaffenburg 3-4 HT 2-1 Nürnberg II Nürnberg II ALMBÖL
25.03.2023 Nürnberg II Nürnberg II 1-1 HT 1-0 Viktoria Aschaffenburg Viktoria Aschaffenburg ALMBÖL
02.09.2022 Viktoria Aschaffenburg Viktoria Aschaffenburg 1-0 HT 0-0 Nürnberg II Nürnberg II ALMBÖL
15.03.2022 Viktoria Aschaffenburg Viktoria Aschaffenburg 2-2 HT 0-2 Nürnberg II Nürnberg II ALMBÖL
POST-MATCH Nürnberg II vs Viktoria Aschaffenburg
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nürnberg II and Viktoria Aschaffenburg couldn't be separated, finishing 3-3. It was 2-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Nürnberg II at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (57%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Nürnberg II and 1.83 for Viktoria Aschaffenburg.

What was the final score of Nürnberg II vs Viktoria Aschaffenburg?

Nürnberg II 3-3 Viktoria Aschaffenburg in the Germany - Regional League on 23/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nürnberg II vs Viktoria Aschaffenburg?

Before kick-off our model rated a Nürnberg II win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Nürnberg II 46%, draw 27%, Viktoria Aschaffenburg 28%. The final score 3-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Nürnberg II) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Nürnberg II) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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