CD Aguilas 2-1 Estepona — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 23 Nov 2025

📅23/11/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.8
Draw
26%
3.18
Away
27%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
60%
1.59
Over
40%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.29
No
56%
1.55
Total Goals
0-1
40%
2-3
36%
4-5
17%
6+
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
16%
X/2
9%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
13%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 60%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Home Win Under 2.5 BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
48%
Home Win
52%
-4.5pp
26%
Draw
28%
-2.7pp
27%
Away Win
20%
+7.2pp
60%
Under 2.5
59%
+1.4pp
40%
Over 2.5
41%
-1.4pp
44%
BTTS Yes
40%
+3.9pp
56%
BTTS No
60%
-3.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME CD Aguilas The Market 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Estepona The Market 22%
-9% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +2%
1.16/0.80 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.67/0.98
-18% / +13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -28% / +37%
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
286 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 297 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 3.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME CD Aguilas
1W-1D-2L
AWAY Estepona
0.75 Avg Goals (FT) 1.25
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 2
23.02.2025 Estepona Estepona 3-1 HT 2-0 CD Aguilas CD Aguilas İS4
13.10.2024 CD Aguilas CD Aguilas 0-0 Estepona Estepona İS4
21.01.2024 CD Aguilas CD Aguilas 1-0 HT 0-0 Estepona Estepona İS4
10.09.2023 Estepona Estepona 2-1 HT 1-1 CD Aguilas CD Aguilas İS4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME CD Aguilas
2-1
AWAY Estepona
45% Ball Possession 55%
7 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH CD Aguilas vs Estepona
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

CD Aguilas edged past Estepona 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had CD Aguilas as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, CD Aguilas had 45% of the ball to Estepona's 55%, shots finished 7-8.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Estepona led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.75 goals for CD Aguilas and 1.25 for Estepona.

What was the final score of CD Aguilas vs Estepona?

CD Aguilas 2-1 Estepona in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 23/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for CD Aguilas vs Estepona?

Before kick-off our model rated a CD Aguilas win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split CD Aguilas 48%, draw 26%, Estepona 27%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (CD Aguilas) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (CD Aguilas) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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