CD Victoria 2-1 Genesis PN — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Honduras - National League Apertura, 23 Nov 2025

📅23/11/2025 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.3
Draw
26%
4.95
Away
21%
7.37
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.23
Over 2.5
57%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.95
No
45%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
36%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
11%
X/2
9%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
7%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
72%
-19.0pp
25%
Draw
17%
+8.4pp
21%
Away Win
11%
+10.7pp
43%
Under 2.5
41%
+2.3pp
57%
Over 2.5
59%
-2.3pp
55%
BTTS Yes
47%
+7.4pp
45%
BTTS No
53%
-7.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME CD Victoria EU Bookmakers 77%
Head to Head
AWAY Genesis PN EU Bookmakers 14%
-33% / -33% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -3%
1.23/1.57 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.75/1.93
-45% / -45% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -15% / +11%
57% Ball Possession 43%
15 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
444 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 254 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME CD Victoria
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Genesis PN
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
31.08.2025 Genesis PN 1-0 HT 0-0 CD Victoria CD Victoria HON
31.01.2025 CD Victoria CD Victoria 1-0 HT 1-0 Genesis PN HON
05.10.2024 Genesis PN 2-1 HT 1-1 CD Victoria CD Victoria HON
04.08.2024 CD Victoria CD Victoria 2-2 HT 0-2 Genesis PN HON
14.03.2024 Genesis PN 0-0 HT 0-0 CD Victoria CD Victoria HON
28.01.2024 CD Victoria CD Victoria 1-1 HT 0-0 Genesis PN HON
POST-MATCH CD Victoria vs Genesis PN
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

CD Victoria edged past Genesis PN 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had CD Victoria as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (55%) came in.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Genesis PN led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for CD Victoria and 1.00 for Genesis PN.

What was the final score of CD Victoria vs Genesis PN?

CD Victoria 2-1 Genesis PN in the Honduras - National League Apertura on 23/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for CD Victoria vs Genesis PN?

Before kick-off our model rated a CD Victoria win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split CD Victoria 53%, draw 25%, Genesis PN 21%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (CD Victoria), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (CD Victoria) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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