Iwaki 0-0 Renofa Yamaguchi — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J2 League, 23 Nov 2025

📅23/11/2025 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.19
Draw
26%
3.18
Away
31%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under
52%
1.74
Over
48%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
54%
1.82
No
46%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1
29%
2.76
2-3
40%
1.74
4-5
21%
3.91
6+
10%
18.1
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
11%
X/2
14%
X/X
12%
2/1
10%
2/2
12%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS Yes — 54%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win Under 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
42%
+0.9pp
26%
Draw
28%
-1.6pp
31%
Away Win
30%
+0.7pp
52%
Under 2.5
54%
-1.2pp
48%
Over 2.5
46%
+1.2pp
54%
BTTS Yes
51%
+3.5pp
46%
BTTS No
49%
-3.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Iwaki EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Renofa Yamaguchi EU Bookmakers 34%
-3% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -9%
1.72/1.21 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.97/1.17
+33% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -19% / +3%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
280 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 285 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
18.9 Crosses 19.6
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Iwaki
1W-2D-2L
AWAY Renofa Yamaguchi
1.20 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
220 Passes 231
70% Pass Accuracy 72%
17 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 1
15.06.2025 Renofa Yamaguchi Renofa Yamaguchi 2-2 HT 1-1 Iwaki Iwaki JAP2
22.06.2024 Renofa Yamaguchi Renofa Yamaguchi 0-3 HT 0-0 Iwaki Iwaki JAP2
12.05.2024 Iwaki Iwaki 1-2 HT 1-1 Renofa Yamaguchi Renofa Yamaguchi JAP2
15.07.2023 Renofa Yamaguchi Renofa Yamaguchi 0-0 HT 0-0 Iwaki Iwaki JAP2
05.03.2023 Iwaki Iwaki 0-1 HT 0-0 Renofa Yamaguchi Renofa Yamaguchi JAP2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Iwaki
0-0
AWAY Renofa Yamaguchi
51% Ball Possession 49%
8 Total Shots 5
0 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 3
168 Passes 158
55% Pass Accuracy 56%
14 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Iwaki vs Renofa Yamaguchi
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Iwaki and Renofa Yamaguchi fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was Iwaki at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Iwaki had 51% of the ball to Renofa Yamaguchi's 49%, shots finished 8-5.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Renofa Yamaguchi led the recent series with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.20 goals for Iwaki and 1.00 for Renofa Yamaguchi.

What was the final score of Iwaki vs Renofa Yamaguchi?

Iwaki 0-0 Renofa Yamaguchi in the Japan - J2 League on 23/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Iwaki vs Renofa Yamaguchi?

Before kick-off our model rated a Iwaki win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Iwaki 43%, draw 26%, Renofa Yamaguchi 31%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Iwaki), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Iwaki) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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