Oita Trinita 0-1 JEF United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J2 League, 23 Nov 2025

📅23/11/2025 · 🕒07:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
4.48
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
45%
1.74
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
56%
1.64
Over
44%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
2.06
No
49%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1
32%
2.56
2-3
41%
1.74
4-5
16%
4.25
6+
11%
21.75
Value flag · 0-1 at 2.56 — our 32% vs market 31.9%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
9%
1/X
4%
X/1
9%
X/2
14%
X/X
14%
2/1
6%
2/2
22%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 56%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
20%
+9.2pp
26%
Draw
26%
+0.0pp
45%
Away Win
54%
-9.2pp
56%
Under 2.5
57%
-1.3pp
44%
Over 2.5
43%
+1.3pp
51%
BTTS Yes
44%
+6.9pp
49%
BTTS No
56%
-6.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Oita Trinita EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY JEF United EU Bookmakers 57%
-8% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -17% / -11%
0.50/1.13 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.31/1.28
-50% / +29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -15% / -30%
43% Ball Possession 57%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
272 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 459 · 84%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
22.0 Crosses 20.6
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Oita Trinita
2W-2D-2L
AWAY JEF United
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
356 Passes 252
80% Pass Accuracy 76%
22 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2
20.04.2025 JEF United JEF United 1-0 HT 0-0 Oita Trinita Oita Trinita JAP2
01.09.2024 Oita Trinita Oita Trinita 0-2 HT 0-1 JEF United JEF United JAP2
13.04.2024 JEF United JEF United 1-1 HT 1-0 Oita Trinita Oita Trinita JAP2
24.06.2023 JEF United JEF United 1-1 HT 0-0 Oita Trinita Oita Trinita JAP2
19.03.2023 Oita Trinita Oita Trinita 2-1 HT 1-0 JEF United JEF United JAP2
02.07.2022 Oita Trinita Oita Trinita 3-2 HT 0-1 JEF United JEF United JAP2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Oita Trinita
0-1
AWAY JEF United
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 21
2 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 3
268 Passes 299
73% Pass Accuracy 73%
27 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Oita Trinita vs JEF United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

JEF United edged past Oita Trinita 1-0 away from home.

As we said in the preview, our model had JEF United as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Oita Trinita had 48% of the ball to JEF United's 52%, shots finished 12-21.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Oita Trinita and 1.33 for JEF United.

What was the final score of Oita Trinita vs JEF United?

Oita Trinita 0-1 JEF United in the Japan - J2 League on 23/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Oita Trinita vs JEF United?

Before kick-off our model rated an JEF United win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Oita Trinita 29%, draw 26%, JEF United 45%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (JEF United), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (JEF United) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
JAP2 More Japan - J2 League
23 Nov 2025
07:05 V-Varen Nagasaki vs Mito HollyHock Analysis →
08:00 Iwaki vs Renofa Yamaguchi Analysis →
08:00 Imabari vs Consadole Sapporo Analysis →
08:00 Fujieda MYFC vs Sagan Tosu Analysis →
08:00 Blaublitz Akita vs Vegalta Sendai Analysis →
08:00 Omiya Ardija vs Tokushima Vortis Analysis →