Boulogne 1-1 Bourg en Bresse 01 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - National League 1, 24 Jan 2025

📅24/01/2025 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.05
Draw
31%
3.11
Away
31%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.59
Over 2.5
41%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.99
No
52%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.36
2-3 Goals
44%
1.72
4-5 Goals
19%
4.51
6+ Goals
7%
25.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
2.97
1/2
8%
34.5
1/X
10%
13.95
X/1
8%
4.53
X/2
11%
6.97
X/X
13%
3.93
2/1
11%
30.0
2/2
12%
5.73
2/X
8%
14.85
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
45%
-7.1pp
31%
Draw
29%
+2.2pp
31%
Away Win
26%
+4.9pp
59%
Under 2.5
59%
-0.1pp
41%
Over 2.5
41%
+0.1pp
48%
BTTS Yes
46%
+1.9pp
52%
BTTS No
54%
-1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Boulogne EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Bourg en Bresse 01 EU Bookmakers 30%
-3% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +5%
1.10/0.72 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.98/1.14
-23% / +43% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / +17%
53% Ball Possession 47%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
263 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 271 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Boulogne
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Bourg en Bresse 01
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
45% Ball Possession 55%
7 Total Shots 6
3 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 2
24.08.2024 Bourg en Bresse 01 Bourg en Bresse 01 1-1 HT 0-0 Boulogne Boulogne FR3
09.04.2022 Bourg en Bresse 01 Bourg en Bresse 01 3-1 HT 2-1 Boulogne Boulogne FR3
05.11.2021 Boulogne Boulogne 1-2 HT 1-1 Bourg en Bresse 01 Bourg en Bresse 01 FR3
23.03.2021 Boulogne Boulogne 0-0 HT 0-0 Bourg en Bresse 01 Bourg en Bresse 01 FR3
18.09.2020 Bourg en Bresse 01 Bourg en Bresse 01 3-3 HT 2-3 Boulogne Boulogne FR3
29.11.2019 Boulogne Boulogne 1-0 HT 1-0 Bourg en Bresse 01 Bourg en Bresse 01 FR3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Boulogne
1-1
AWAY Bourg en Bresse 01
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 7
2 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Boulogne vs Bourg en Bresse 01
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Boulogne and Bourg en Bresse 01 couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

Our pre-match split (38% / 31% / 31%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (59%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Boulogne had 52% of the ball to Bourg en Bresse 01's 48%, shots finished 11-7.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Bourg en Bresse 01 led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Boulogne and 1.50 for Bourg en Bresse 01.

What was the final score of Boulogne vs Bourg en Bresse 01?

Boulogne 1-1 Bourg en Bresse 01 in the France - National League 1 on 24/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Boulogne vs Bourg en Bresse 01?

Before kick-off our model rated a Boulogne win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Boulogne 38%, draw 31%, Bourg en Bresse 01 31%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Boulogne), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Boulogne) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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