Villefranche 0-3 Le Mans FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - National League 1, 24 Jan 2025

📅24/01/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
3.08
Draw
25%
3.04
Away
36%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.62
Over 2.5
44%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.9
No
54%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2.49
2-3 Goals
37%
1.71
4-5 Goals
21%
4.22
6+ Goals
7%
22.1
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
5.14
1/2
6%
30.0
1/X
7%
13.7
X/1
18%
6.64
X/2
15%
4.9
X/X
11%
3.92
2/1
8%
34.5
2/2
15%
3.2
2/X
7%
13.1
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
29%
+9.4pp
25%
Draw
30%
-4.6pp
36%
Away Win
41%
-4.8pp
56%
Under 2.5
58%
-2.3pp
44%
Over 2.5
42%
+2.3pp
46%
BTTS Yes
49%
-2.4pp
54%
BTTS No
51%
+2.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Villefranche EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Le Mans FC EU Bookmakers 45%
+5% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / +2%
1.36/1.25 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.42/1.42
+18% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +13% / -19%
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
242 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 403 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Villefranche
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Le Mans FC
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
42% Ball Possession 58%
7 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 4
23.08.2024 Le Mans FC Le Mans FC 0-0 HT 0-0 Villefranche Villefranche FR3
19.04.2024 Le Mans FC Le Mans FC 1-1 HT 1-1 Villefranche Villefranche FR3
27.02.2024 Villefranche Villefranche 0-4 HT 0-3 Le Mans FC Le Mans FC FR3
24.11.2023 Villefranche Villefranche 2-0 HT 1-0 Le Mans FC Le Mans FC FR3
19.05.2023 Villefranche Villefranche 1-0 HT 1-0 Le Mans FC Le Mans FC FR3
13.01.2023 Le Mans FC Le Mans FC 1-1 HT 0-0 Villefranche Villefranche FR3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Villefranche
0-3
AWAY Le Mans FC
46% Ball Possession 54%
13 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 7
6 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Villefranche vs Le Mans FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Le Mans FC ran out comfortable winners over Villefranche 3-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 25% / 36% — and on the day Le Mans FC made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Villefranche had 46% of the ball to Le Mans FC's 54%, shots finished 13-11.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Villefranche had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Villefranche and 1.00 for Le Mans FC.

What was the final score of Villefranche vs Le Mans FC?

Villefranche 0-3 Le Mans FC in the France - National League 1 on 24/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Villefranche vs Le Mans FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Villefranche win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Villefranche 39%, draw 25%, Le Mans FC 36%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Villefranche), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Villefranche) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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