Dijon 3-3 Quevilly — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - National League 1, 24 Jan 2025

📅24/01/2025 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.12
Draw
29%
2.94
Away
27%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.62
Over 2.5
41%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
1.9
No
59%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
35%
2.46
2-3 Goals
39%
1.71
4-5 Goals
18%
4.28
6+ Goals
8%
22.55
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.46 — our 35% vs market 32.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
3.1
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
7%
12.75
X/1
13%
4.88
X/2
7%
7.01
X/X
14%
3.82
2/1
7%
30.0
2/2
13%
5.47
2/X
8%
13.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
43%
+0.4pp
29%
Draw
30%
-1.2pp
27%
Away Win
26%
+0.8pp
59%
Under 2.5
58%
+1.2pp
41%
Over 2.5
42%
-1.2pp
41%
BTTS Yes
49%
-7.6pp
59%
BTTS No
51%
+7.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dijon EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Quevilly EU Bookmakers 30%
+9% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +9%
1.20/0.61 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.14/1.41
-16% / +69% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +9% / -6%
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
333 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 319 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dijon
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Quevilly
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.07 xG 1.33
54% Ball Possession 46%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
371 Passes 260
79% Pass Accuracy 72%
17 Box Touches 19
19 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 2
23.08.2024 Quevilly Quevilly 2-1 HT 1-0 Dijon Dijon FR3
09.12.2023 Quevilly Quevilly 3-1 HT 0-1 Dijon Dijon FRK
15.04.2023 Quevilly Quevilly 2-2 HT 1-0 Dijon Dijon FR2
15.10.2022 Dijon Dijon 0-0 HT 0-0 Quevilly Quevilly FR2
22.01.2022 Dijon Dijon 1-0 HT 0-0 Quevilly Quevilly FR2
14.08.2021 Quevilly Quevilly 2-1 HT 1-0 Dijon Dijon FR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Dijon
3-3
AWAY Quevilly
59% Ball Possession 41%
5 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 7
2 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Dijon vs Quevilly
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dijon and Quevilly shared the points in a 3-3 draw. Half-time: 2-2. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Dijon at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Dijon had 59% of the ball to Quevilly's 41%, shots finished 5-10.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Quevilly led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Dijon and 1.50 for Quevilly.

What was the final score of Dijon vs Quevilly?

Dijon 3-3 Quevilly in the France - National League 1 on 24/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dijon vs Quevilly?

Before kick-off our model rated a Dijon win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Dijon 44%, draw 29%, Quevilly 27%. The final score 3-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Dijon) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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