Chateauroux 3-2 Nimes — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - National League 1, 24 Jan 2025

📅24/01/2025 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.8
Draw
29%
2.88
Away
39%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.48
Over 2.5
45%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
2.13
No
51%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2.04
2-3 Goals
46%
1.75
4-5 Goals
19%
5.55
6+ Goals
9%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
4.58
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
8%
14.8
X/1
13%
5.65
X/2
15%
5.05
X/X
15%
3.5
2/1
6%
34.5
2/2
19%
3.87
2/X
5%
14.55
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
32%
-0.1pp
29%
Draw
31%
-2.7pp
39%
Away Win
36%
+2.9pp
55%
Under 2.5
64%
-8.8pp
45%
Over 2.5
36%
+8.8pp
49%
BTTS Yes
43%
+6.6pp
51%
BTTS No
57%
-6.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Chateauroux EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Nimes EU Bookmakers 40%
+9% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -2%
1.51/1.79 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.94/0.85
+31% / -36% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -23% / +38%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
368 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 299 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Chateauroux
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Nimes
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
47% Ball Possession 53%
8 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 5
242 Passes 359
72% Pass Accuracy 78%
12 Box Touches 24
11 Crosses 25
4 Yellow Cards 2
23.08.2024 Nimes Nimes 1-0 HT 1-0 Chateauroux Chateauroux FR3
16.02.2024 Chateauroux Chateauroux 0-1 HT 0-0 Nimes Nimes FR3
08.09.2023 Nimes Nimes 2-2 HT 0-1 Chateauroux Chateauroux FR3
20.01.2018 Nimes Nimes 3-0 HT 1-0 Chateauroux Chateauroux FR2
21.08.2017 Chateauroux Chateauroux 1-0 HT 0-0 Nimes Nimes FR2
09.08.2016 Nimes Nimes 1-1 HT 1-0 Chateauroux Chateauroux FRLK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Chateauroux
3-2
AWAY Nimes
43% Ball Possession 57%
13 Total Shots 15
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Chateauroux vs Nimes
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Chateauroux edged past Nimes 3-2. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 32% / 29% / 39% — and on the day Chateauroux made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Chateauroux had 43% of the ball to Nimes's 57%, shots finished 13-15.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Nimes led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Chateauroux and 1.33 for Nimes.

What was the final score of Chateauroux vs Nimes?

Chateauroux 3-2 Nimes in the France - National League 1 on 24/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Chateauroux vs Nimes?

Before kick-off our model rated an Nimes win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Chateauroux 32%, draw 29%, Nimes 39%. The final score 3-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Nimes) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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