Concarneau 0-2 Nancy — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - National League 1, 24 Jan 2025

📅24/01/2025 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
3.5
Draw
34%
3.18
Away
35%
1.96
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.71
Over 2.5
43%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.88
No
54%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
33%
2.7
2-3 Goals
40%
1.72
4-5 Goals
20%
3.87
6+ Goals
7%
18.05
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.7 — our 33% vs market 29.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
6.19
1/2
6%
27.0
1/X
7%
14.4
X/1
10%
7.74
X/2
13%
4.51
X/X
20%
4.26
2/1
6%
34.5
2/2
16%
2.68
2/X
7%
13.3
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
25%
+6.1pp
34%
Draw
28%
+5.7pp
35%
Away Win
47%
-11.8pp
57%
Under 2.5
55%
+2.5pp
43%
Over 2.5
45%
-2.5pp
46%
BTTS Yes
49%
-3.3pp
54%
BTTS No
51%
+3.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Concarneau EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Nancy EU Bookmakers 51%
+4% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -13% / -13%
1.02/0.88 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.10/1.39
-15% / +45% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -27% / -21%
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
219 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 352 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Concarneau
1W-0D-2L
AWAY Nancy
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
62% Ball Possession 38%
14 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 4
23.08.2024 Nancy Nancy 3-0 HT 1-0 Concarneau Concarneau FR3
28.03.2023 Nancy Nancy 0-3 HT 0-0 Concarneau Concarneau FR3
02.09.2022 Concarneau Concarneau 1-2 HT 1-0 Nancy Nancy FR3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Concarneau
0-2
AWAY Nancy
50% Ball Possession 50%
6 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 8
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Concarneau vs Nancy
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nancy beat Concarneau 2-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (31% / 34% / 35%) promised a tight game; Nancy found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (57%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Concarneau had 50% of the ball to Nancy's 50%, shots finished 6-12.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Nancy led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Concarneau and 1.67 for Nancy.

What was the final score of Concarneau vs Nancy?

Concarneau 0-2 Nancy in the France - National League 1 on 24/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Concarneau vs Nancy?

Before kick-off our model rated an Nancy win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Concarneau 31%, draw 34%, Nancy 35%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Nancy), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Nancy) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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