Valenciennes 1-0 Orleans — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - National League 1, 24 Jan 2025

📅24/01/2025 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
3.17
Draw
26%
2.94
Away
43%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
59%
1.48
Over
41%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.13
No
59%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1
34%
2.08
2-3
41%
1.74
4-5
18%
5.35
6+
7%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
5.47
1/2
7%
34.0
1/X
6%
15.0
X/1
11%
6.48
X/2
14%
4.65
X/X
12%
3.55
2/1
5%
34.5
2/2
22%
3.3
2/X
8%
14.3
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 59%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
31%
Home Win
28%
+2.6pp
26%
Draw
31%
-4.5pp
43%
Away Win
41%
+1.9pp
59%
Under 2.5
64%
-4.5pp
41%
Over 2.5
36%
+4.5pp
41%
BTTS Yes
43%
-1.9pp
59%
BTTS No
57%
+1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Valenciennes The Market 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Orleans The Market 45%
+56% / +56% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +3%
2.00/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.10/1.04
+72% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -14% / +14%
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
254 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 321 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Valenciennes
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Orleans
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
48% Ball Possession 52%
8 Total Shots 22
2 Shots on Target 10
6 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 5
09.10.2024 Orleans Orleans 4-1 HT 2-1 Valenciennes Valenciennes FR3
23.08.2024 Orleans Orleans 0-0 HT 1-1 Valenciennes Valenciennes FR3
POST-MATCH Valenciennes vs Orleans
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Valenciennes edged past Orleans 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Orleans at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (59%) came in.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Orleans led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Valenciennes and 2.00 for Orleans.

What was the final score of Valenciennes vs Orleans?

Valenciennes 1-0 Orleans in the France - National League 1 on 24/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Valenciennes vs Orleans?

Before kick-off our model rated an Orleans win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Valenciennes 31%, draw 26%, Orleans 43%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Orleans) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Orleans) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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