FC Eindhoven 4-2 Cambuur — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eerste Divisie, 24 Jan 2025

📅24/01/2025 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
2.99
Draw
26%
3.54
Away
43%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
2.1
Over 2.5
46%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.6
No
55%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
3.8
2-3 Goals
40%
1.8
4-5 Goals
21%
2.94
6+ Goals
10%
9.28
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.8 — our 29% vs market 19.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
4.9
1/2
12%
22.55
1/X
7%
13.5
X/1
12%
7.13
X/2
14%
4.92
X/X
12%
5.29
2/1
7%
31.0
2/2
17%
2.78
2/X
7%
12.9
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
30%
+1.4pp
26%
Draw
25%
+1.0pp
43%
Away Win
45%
-2.4pp
54%
Under 2.5
44%
+10.2pp
46%
Over 2.5
56%
-10.2pp
45%
BTTS Yes
58%
-13.2pp
55%
BTTS No
42%
+13.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FC Eindhoven EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY Cambuur EU Bookmakers 49%
+4% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +0%
1.19/1.16 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.60/1.35
-23% / +14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +35% / +7%
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
290 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 358 · 80%
17.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.7
18.0 Crosses 17.1
1.6 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FC Eindhoven
0W-1D-5L
AWAY Cambuur
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
0.73 xG 2.32
39% Ball Possession 60%
8 Total Shots 18
3 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 7
235 Passes 418
72% Pass Accuracy 83%
12 Box Touches 29
12 Crosses 24
2 Yellow Cards 1
21.10.2024 Cambuur Cambuur 2-0 HT 1-0 FC Eindhoven FC Eindhoven HOL2
29.03.2024 FC Eindhoven FC Eindhoven 0-3 HT 0-2 Cambuur Cambuur HOL2
01.12.2023 Cambuur Cambuur 2-2 HT 1-1 FC Eindhoven FC Eindhoven HOL2
22.03.2021 Cambuur Cambuur 3-0 HT 0-0 FC Eindhoven FC Eindhoven HOL2
03.01.2021 FC Eindhoven FC Eindhoven 2-5 HT 1-5 Cambuur Cambuur HOL2
22.11.2019 FC Eindhoven FC Eindhoven 0-3 HT 0-0 Cambuur Cambuur HOL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FC Eindhoven
4-2
AWAY Cambuur
35% Ball Possession 65%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 4
POST-MATCH FC Eindhoven vs Cambuur
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FC Eindhoven beat Cambuur 4-2. The game was level at 2-2 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Cambuur at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, FC Eindhoven had 35% of the ball to Cambuur's 65%, shots finished 10-11.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Cambuur led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for FC Eindhoven and 3.00 for Cambuur.

What was the final score of FC Eindhoven vs Cambuur?

FC Eindhoven 4-2 Cambuur in the Netherlands - Eerste Divisie on 24/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FC Eindhoven vs Cambuur?

Before kick-off our model rated an Cambuur win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split FC Eindhoven 31%, draw 26%, Cambuur 43%. The final score 4-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Cambuur) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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