Den Bosch 1-0 FC Oss — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eerste Divisie, 24 Jan 2025

📅24/01/2025 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.92
Draw
23%
3.45
Away
23%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.03
Over 2.5
54%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.63
No
50%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.68
2-3 Goals
38%
1.78
4-5 Goals
26%
3.01
6+ Goals
11%
9.85
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
2.66
1/2
5%
33.5
1/X
5%
12.45
X/1
15%
4.86
X/2
8%
7.64
X/X
9%
5.04
2/1 EV+ ✗
8%
23.0
2/2
10%
5.38
2/X
8%
13.25
Value flag · 2/1 at 23.0 — our 8% vs market 2.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
48%
+6.2pp
23%
Draw
26%
-2.4pp
23%
Away Win
26%
-3.8pp
46%
Under 2.5
45%
+0.9pp
54%
Over 2.5
55%
-0.9pp
50%
BTTS Yes
57%
-6.9pp
50%
BTTS No
43%
+6.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Den Bosch EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY FC Oss EU Bookmakers 30%
+4% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -6%
1.62/1.21 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.02/1.47
+13% / +21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -26% / -8%
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
320 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 327 · 78%
22.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.2
21.0 Crosses 19.4
1.4 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Den Bosch
3W-0D-3L
AWAY FC Oss
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
0.92 xG 1.05
56% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
327 Passes 235
76% Pass Accuracy 70%
17 Box Touches 19
20 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 2
08.11.2024 FC Oss FC Oss 1-0 HT 1-0 Den Bosch Den Bosch HOL2
08.03.2024 FC Oss FC Oss 1-2 HT 0-0 Den Bosch Den Bosch HOL2
11.08.2023 Den Bosch Den Bosch 1-0 HT 0-0 FC Oss FC Oss HOL2
03.02.2023 FC Oss FC Oss 3-0 HT 1-0 Den Bosch Den Bosch HOL2
17.09.2022 Den Bosch Den Bosch 4-1 HT 2-1 FC Oss FC Oss HOL2
28.01.2022 FC Oss FC Oss 2-1 HT 1-0 Den Bosch Den Bosch HOL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Den Bosch
1-0
AWAY FC Oss
1.33 xG 0.17
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 4
5 Shots on Target 2
1 Corners 6
354 Passes 235
79% Pass Accuracy 70%
14 Box Touches 7
17 Crosses 17
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Den Bosch vs FC Oss
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Den Bosch squeezed past FC Oss 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Den Bosch as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Den Bosch had 57% of the ball to FC Oss's 43%, shots finished 14-4, expected goals 1.33 to 0.17.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Den Bosch and 1.33 for FC Oss.

What was the final score of Den Bosch vs FC Oss?

Den Bosch 1-0 FC Oss in the Netherlands - Eerste Divisie on 24/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Den Bosch vs FC Oss?

Before kick-off our model rated a Den Bosch win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Den Bosch 54%, draw 23%, FC Oss 23%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Den Bosch) — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Den Bosch) ✗ Over 2.5
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