Vitesse 0-3 Dordrecht — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eerste Divisie, 24 Jan 2025

Vitesse
0-3 HT 0-1
Dordrecht
📅24/01/2025 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Netherlands - Eerste Divisie – 2024/2025

Vitesse vs Dordrecht Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.19
Draw
28%
3.45
Away
36%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.38
Over 2.5
50%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.46
No
44%
2.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
4.81
2-3 Goals
41%
1.91
4-5 Goals
23%
2.61
6+ Goals
12%
6.57
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
3.09
1/2
9%
25.5
1/X
9%
11.9
X/1
15%
5.66
X/2
14%
6.72
X/X
13%
5.6
2/1
6%
22.1
2/2
13%
4.04
2/X
6%
12.15
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
42%
-5.2pp
28%
Draw
25%
+2.5pp
36%
Away Win
33%
+2.7pp
50%
Under 2.5
38%
+12.2pp
50%
Over 2.5
62%
-12.2pp
56%
BTTS Yes
64%
-8.1pp
44%
BTTS No
36%
+8.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Vitesse v Dordrecht — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Vitesse EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Dordrecht EU Bookmakers 37%
-26% / -26% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +21%
1.25/1.10 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.33/1.48
-11% / -27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +9% / +7%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
341 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 325 · 77%
29.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 27.5
22.7 Crosses 18.3
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.1

Vitesse vs Dordrecht Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Vitesse
3W-1D-0L
AWAY Dordrecht
3.25 Avg Goals (FT) 1.25
2.42 xG 3.25
52% Ball Possession 48%
18 Total Shots 12
8 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
322 Passes 299
76% Pass Accuracy 76%
36 Box Touches 31
25 Crosses 26
5 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
22.10.2024 Dordrecht Dordrecht 2-2 HT 0-0 Vitesse Vitesse HOL2
18.04.2015 Vitesse Vitesse 3-0 HT 0-0 Dordrecht Dordrecht HOL
28.10.2014 Vitesse Vitesse 2-1 HT 1-0 Dordrecht Dordrecht HOK
27.09.2014 Dordrecht Dordrecht 2-6 HT 0-2 Vitesse Vitesse HOL

Vitesse 0-3 Dordrecht — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Vitesse
0-3
AWAY Dordrecht
0.77 xG 0.44
61% Ball Possession 39%
14 Total Shots 5
3 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
304 Passes 167
77% Pass Accuracy 64%
27 Box Touches 11
25 Crosses 10
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Vitesse vs Dordrecht
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dordrecht ran out comfortable winners over Vitesse 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 28% / 36% — and on the day Dordrecht made the difference. The goals read — both teams to score (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Vitesse had 61% of the ball to Dordrecht's 39%, shots finished 14-5, expected goals 0.77 to 0.44.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Vitesse had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 3.25 goals for Vitesse and 1.25 for Dordrecht.

What was the final score of Vitesse vs Dordrecht?

Vitesse 0-3 Dordrecht in the Netherlands - Eerste Divisie on 24/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Vitesse vs Dordrecht?

Before kick-off our model rated a Vitesse win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Vitesse 36%, draw 28%, Dordrecht 36%. The final score 0-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (36/28/36) ✗ BTTS Yes
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