Volendam 3-1 MVV Maastricht — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eerste Divisie, 24 Jan 2025

📅24/01/2025 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
63%
1.33
Draw
20%
4.95
Away
17%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
38%
3.17
Over 2.5
62%
1.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.55
No
48%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
7.52
2-3 Goals
37%
2.25
4-5 Goals
29%
2.3
6+ Goals
16%
3.92
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
40%
1.52
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
6%
18.35
X/1
16%
4.18
X/2
6%
16.5
X/X
8%
9.67
2/1
7%
16.85
2/2
7%
11.75
2/X
5%
20.75
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
63%
Home Win
70%
-7.3pp
19%
Draw
17%
+2.5pp
17%
Away Win
13%
+4.8pp
38%
Under 2.5
28%
+9.5pp
62%
Over 2.5
72%
-9.5pp
52%
BTTS Yes
60%
-8.4pp
48%
BTTS No
40%
+8.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Volendam EU Bookmakers 75%
Head to Head
AWAY MVV Maastricht EU Bookmakers 16%
-3% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +14%
2.29/1.15 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.77/1.92
+23% / +1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / +1%
55% Ball Possession 45%
18 Total Shots 9
8 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
416 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 300 · 76%
31.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.2
21.7 Crosses 12.4
1.1 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Volendam
3W-2D-1L
AWAY MVV Maastricht
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
2.04 xG 1.04
62% Ball Possession 38%
20 Total Shots 11
8 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 6
459 Passes 232
83% Pass Accuracy 70%
33 Box Touches 16
23 Crosses 17
0 Yellow Cards 2
13.09.2024 MVV Maastricht MVV Maastricht 2-2 HT 1-1 Volendam Volendam HOL2
21.01.2022 MVV Maastricht MVV Maastricht 0-1 HT 0-0 Volendam Volendam HOL2
27.08.2021 Volendam Volendam 5-0 HT 2-0 MVV Maastricht MVV Maastricht HOL2
30.04.2021 MVV Maastricht MVV Maastricht 2-2 HT 0-2 Volendam Volendam HOL2
03.01.2021 Volendam Volendam 0-1 HT 0-1 MVV Maastricht MVV Maastricht HOL2
13.12.2019 Volendam Volendam 4-1 HT 1-1 MVV Maastricht MVV Maastricht HOL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Volendam
3-1
AWAY MVV Maastricht
2.44 xG 1.21
44% Ball Possession 56%
15 Total Shots 13
10 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
306 Passes 383
80% Pass Accuracy 81%
24 Box Touches 26
12 Crosses 17
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Volendam vs MVV Maastricht
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Volendam beat MVV Maastricht 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Volendam as the likeliest winner at 63%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (62%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Volendam had 44% of the ball to MVV Maastricht's 56%, shots finished 15-13, expected goals 2.44 to 1.21.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Volendam had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Volendam and 1.00 for MVV Maastricht.

What was the final score of Volendam vs MVV Maastricht?

Volendam 3-1 MVV Maastricht in the Netherlands - Eerste Divisie on 24/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Volendam vs MVV Maastricht?

Before kick-off our model rated a Volendam win the most likely single outcome at about 63%, with the full match-result split Volendam 63%, draw 19%, MVV Maastricht 17%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Volendam), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Volendam) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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