Roda 3-0 Utrecht II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eerste Divisie, 24 Jan 2025

📅24/01/2025 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.37
Draw
26%
4.62
Away
20%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.33
Over 2.5
49%
1.54
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.82
No
53%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
26%
4.5
2-3 Goals
41%
1.87
4-5 Goals
23%
2.69
6+ Goals
10%
7.18
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.5 — our 26% vs market 16.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1.6
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
11%
18.45
X/1
18%
3.88
X/2
7%
15.3
X/X
9%
7.4
2/1
6%
20.35
2/2
7%
12.5
2/X
6%
21.1
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
69%
-14.6pp
26%
Draw
19%
+7.5pp
20%
Away Win
13%
+7.0pp
51%
Under 2.5
39%
+12.1pp
49%
Over 2.5
61%
-12.1pp
47%
BTTS Yes
51%
-3.8pp
53%
BTTS No
49%
+3.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Roda EU Bookmakers 73%
Head to Head
AWAY Utrecht II EU Bookmakers 16%
-2% / +16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +3%
1.76/0.73 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.73/1.75
-5% / +22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / -12%
52% Ball Possession 48%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
372 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 326 · 77%
28.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.7
21.0 Crosses 11.4
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Roda
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Utrecht II
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.79 xG 1.22
57% Ball Possession 43%
16 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
405 Passes 280
80% Pass Accuracy 75%
28 Box Touches 15
20 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 2
22.11.2024 Utrecht II Utrecht II 1-3 HT 1-0 Roda Roda HOL2
26.01.2024 Roda Roda 0-0 HT 0-0 Utrecht II Utrecht II HOL2
01.09.2023 Utrecht II Utrecht II 1-0 HT 0-0 Roda Roda HOL2
06.03.2023 Utrecht II Utrecht II 1-3 HT 0-1 Roda Roda HOL2
28.10.2022 Roda Roda 4-1 HT 1-1 Utrecht II Utrecht II HOL2
01.04.2022 Roda Roda 2-1 HT 1-0 Utrecht II Utrecht II HOL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Roda
3-0
AWAY Utrecht II
1.43 xG 1.37
46% Ball Possession 54%
16 Total Shots 14
9 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
317 Passes 410
81% Pass Accuracy 87%
24 Box Touches 15
17 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Roda vs Utrecht II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Roda ran out comfortable winners over Utrecht II 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Roda as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Roda had 46% of the ball to Utrecht II's 54%, shots finished 16-14, expected goals 1.43 to 1.37.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Roda had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Roda and 0.83 for Utrecht II.

What was the final score of Roda vs Utrecht II?

Roda 3-0 Utrecht II in the Netherlands - Eerste Divisie on 24/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Roda vs Utrecht II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Roda win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Roda 54%, draw 26%, Utrecht II 20%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Roda), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Roda) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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