Utrecht II 1-3 Roda — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eerste Divisie, 22 Nov 2024

Utrecht II
1-3 HT 1-0
Roda
📅22/11/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Netherlands - Eerste Divisie – 2024/2025

Utrecht II vs Roda Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
3.5
Draw
23%
3.54
Away
43%
1.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.1
Over 2.5
50%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.61
No
51%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
4.16
2-3 Goals
42%
1.87
4-5 Goals
21%
3.1
6+ Goals
10%
9.8
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.16 — our 27% vs market 19.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
5.86
1/2
12%
22.55
1/X
7%
13.85
X/1
16%
8.36
X/2
12%
4.48
X/X
11%
5.34
2/1
8%
34.5
2/2
18%
2.46
2/X
6%
13.35
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
25%
+8.5pp
24%
Draw
25%
-1.2pp
43%
Away Win
50%
-7.4pp
50%
Under 2.5
44%
+5.9pp
50%
Over 2.5
56%
-5.9pp
49%
BTTS Yes
58%
-9.4pp
51%
BTTS No
42%
+9.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Utrecht II v Roda — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Utrecht II EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Roda EU Bookmakers 55%
-2% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -11%
1.17/1.39 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.26/1.03
-28% / +28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -16% / -27%
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
297 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 355 · 76%
20.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.2
13.7 Crosses 19.0
1.9 Yellow Cards 1.8

Utrecht II vs Roda Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Utrecht II
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Roda
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.00 xG 1.71
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 5
296 Passes 382
75% Pass Accuracy 80%
16 Box Touches 28
14 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
26.01.2024 Roda Roda 0-0 HT 0-0 Utrecht II Utrecht II HOL2
01.09.2023 Utrecht II Utrecht II 1-0 HT 0-0 Roda Roda HOL2
06.03.2023 Utrecht II Utrecht II 1-3 HT 0-1 Roda Roda HOL2
28.10.2022 Roda Roda 4-1 HT 1-1 Utrecht II Utrecht II HOL2
01.04.2022 Roda Roda 2-1 HT 1-0 Utrecht II Utrecht II HOL2
18.10.2021 Utrecht II Utrecht II 1-2 HT 0-2 Roda Roda HOL2

Utrecht II 1-3 Roda — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Utrecht II
1-3
AWAY Roda
1.85 xG 2.41
42% Ball Possession 58%
9 Total Shots 19
7 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 8
276 Passes 408
74% Pass Accuracy 79%
12 Box Touches 27
11 Crosses 23
POST-MATCH Utrecht II vs Roda
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Roda saw off Utrecht II 3-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Roda as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Utrecht II had 42% of the ball to Roda's 58%, shots finished 9-19, expected goals 1.85 to 2.41.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Roda led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Utrecht II and 1.83 for Roda.

What was the final score of Utrecht II vs Roda?

Utrecht II 1-3 Roda in the Netherlands - Eerste Divisie on 22/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Utrecht II vs Roda?

Before kick-off our model rated an Roda win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Utrecht II 34%, draw 24%, Roda 43%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Roda) — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Roda) ✗ BTTS No
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