Brighton & Hove Albion 1-1 Everton — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Premier League, 24 Feb 2024

Brighton & Hove Albion
1-1 HT 0-0
Everton
📅24/02/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-1 ✓
England - Premier League – 2023/2024

Brighton & Hove Albion vs Everton Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.82
Draw
28%
3.64
Away
27%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.21
Over 2.5
50%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.56
No
48%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
25%
4.51
2-3 Goals
40%
1.9
4-5 Goals
23%
2.91
6+ Goals
12%
8.41
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.51 — our 25% vs market 17.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
2.38
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
7%
13.35
X/1
17%
4.46
X/2
12%
8.35
X/X
14%
5.59
2/1
11%
21.45
2/2
10%
5.69
2/X
7%
13.75
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
51%
-5.6pp
28%
Draw
24%
+3.9pp
27%
Away Win
25%
+1.7pp
50%
Under 2.5
41%
+9.0pp
50%
Over 2.5
59%
-9.0pp
52%
BTTS Yes
60%
-8.0pp
48%
BTTS No
40%
+8.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Brighton & Hove Albion v Everton — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Brighton & Hove Albion EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Everton EU Bookmakers 29%
-7% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +27%
1.54/0.82 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.25/1.52
-11% / +16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / +13%
53% Ball Possession 47%
16 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
377 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 315 · 76%
29.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.9
20.5 Crosses 16.9
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.0

Brighton & Hove Albion vs Everton Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Brighton & Hove Albion
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Everton
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.61 xG 1.31
63% Ball Possession 37%
16 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
520 Passes 256
84% Pass Accuracy 74%
30 Box Touches 22
18 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
04.11.2023 Everton Everton 1-1 HT 1-0 Brighton & Hove Albion Brighton & Hove Albion İNP
08.05.2023 Brighton & Hove Albion Brighton & Hove Albion 1-5 HT 0-3 Everton Everton İNP
03.01.2023 Everton Everton 1-4 HT 0-1 Brighton & Hove Albion Brighton & Hove Albion İNP
02.01.2022 Everton Everton 2-3 HT 0-2 Brighton & Hove Albion Brighton & Hove Albion İNP
28.08.2021 Brighton & Hove Albion Brighton & Hove Albion 0-2 HT 0-1 Everton Everton İNP
12.04.2021 Brighton & Hove Albion Brighton & Hove Albion 0-0 HT 0-0 Everton Everton İNP

Brighton & Hove Albion 1-1 Everton — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Brighton & Hove Albion
1-1
AWAY Everton
1.41 xG 0.29
65% Ball Possession 35%
23 Total Shots 6
7 Shots on Target 3
11 Corners 3
573 Passes 280
90% Pass Accuracy 80%
40 Box Touches 15
26 Crosses 10
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Brighton & Hove Albion vs Everton
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Brighton & Hove Albion and Everton shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Brighton & Hove Albion at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Brighton & Hove Albion had 65% of the ball to Everton's 35%, shots finished 23-6, expected goals 1.41 to 0.29.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Brighton & Hove Albion and 1.83 for Everton.

What was the final score of Brighton & Hove Albion vs Everton?

Brighton & Hove Albion 1-1 Everton in the England - Premier League on 24/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Brighton & Hove Albion vs Everton?

Before kick-off our model rated a Brighton & Hove Albion win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Brighton & Hove Albion 45%, draw 28%, Everton 27%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Brighton & Hove Albion) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Brighton & Hove Albion) ✓ BTTS Yes
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