Ballymena United 2-2 Glenavon FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — North Ireland - Premier League, 24 Feb 2026

📅24/02/2026 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.8
Draw
29%
3.45
Away
27%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.74
Over 2.5
50%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.9
No
44%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2.75
2-3 Goals
43%
1.7
4-5 Goals
20%
3.76
6+ Goals
9%
17.1
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
2.44
1/2
7%
34.0
1/X
9%
14.35
X/1
10%
4.18
X/2
10%
8.17
X/X
14%
4.58
2/1
8%
25.0
2/2
10%
6.75
2/X
6%
15.65
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
52%
-8.0pp
29%
Draw
26%
+3.7pp
27%
Away Win
23%
+4.4pp
50%
Under 2.5
54%
-3.7pp
50%
Over 2.5
46%
+3.7pp
56%
BTTS Yes
49%
+7.1pp
44%
BTTS No
51%
-7.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ballymena United EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Glenavon FC EU Bookmakers 26%
-7% / -22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -18%
1.20/0.94 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.04/1.77
-26% / +14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / -22%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
385 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 234 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ballymena United
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Glenavon FC
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
03.01.2026 Ballymena United Ballymena United 0-0 Glenavon FC Glenavon FC KİRL
29.11.2025 Glenavon FC Glenavon FC 3-1 HT 1-1 Ballymena United Ballymena United KİRL
09.08.2025 Glenavon FC Glenavon FC 0-2 HT 0-1 Ballymena United Ballymena United KİRL
19.04.2025 Glenavon FC Glenavon FC 2-0 HT 0-0 Ballymena United Ballymena United KİRL
30.12.2024 Ballymena United Ballymena United 0-2 HT 0-0 Glenavon FC Glenavon FC KİRL
12.10.2024 Glenavon FC Glenavon FC 0-1 HT 0-0 Ballymena United Ballymena United KİRL
POST-MATCH Ballymena United vs Glenavon FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ballymena United and Glenavon FC shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Ballymena United at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (56%) came in.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Glenavon FC led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Ballymena United and 1.17 for Glenavon FC.

What was the final score of Ballymena United vs Glenavon FC?

Ballymena United 2-2 Glenavon FC in the North Ireland - Premier League on 24/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ballymena United vs Glenavon FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ballymena United win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Ballymena United 43%, draw 29%, Glenavon FC 27%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Ballymena United) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Ballymena United) ✓ BTTS Yes
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