Larne FC 1-1 Linfield FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — North Ireland - Premier League, 24 Feb 2026

📅24/02/2026 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.47
Draw
28%
3.18
Away
39%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.67
Over 2.5
41%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.85
No
50%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.59
2-3 Goals
48%
1.7
4-5 Goals
16%
4.01
6+ Goals
7%
19.65
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
3.92
1/2
5%
31.0
1/X
8%
13.6
X/1
10%
5.49
X/2
15%
5.42
X/X
14%
4.16
2/1
8%
31.0
2/2
18%
3.85
2/X
6%
13.6
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
37%
-3.2pp
28%
Draw
28%
+0.1pp
39%
Away Win
36%
+3.2pp
59%
Under 2.5
56%
+3.0pp
41%
Over 2.5
44%
-3.0pp
50%
BTTS Yes
50%
+0.3pp
50%
BTTS No
50%
-0.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Larne FC EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Linfield FC EU Bookmakers 39%
+4% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -4%
1.23/0.64 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.91/0.93
-3% / +115% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -36% / +39%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
270 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 297 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Larne FC
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Linfield FC
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
16.01.2026 Linfield FC Linfield FC 0-0 HT 0-0 Larne FC Larne FC KİRL
05.12.2025 Larne FC Larne FC 0-0 HT 0-0 Linfield FC Linfield FC KİRL
18.04.2025 Larne FC Larne FC 2-1 HT 0-1 Linfield FC Linfield FC KİRL
11.02.2025 Linfield FC Linfield FC 1-0 HT 0-0 Larne FC Larne FC KİRL
16.11.2024 Larne FC Larne FC 0-1 HT 0-1 Linfield FC Linfield FC KİRL
14.09.2024 Linfield FC Linfield FC 0-1 HT 0-0 Larne FC Larne FC KİRL
POST-MATCH Larne FC vs Linfield FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Larne FC and Linfield FC shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

We called this one close before kick-off — 33% / 28% / 39% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (59%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Larne FC and 0.50 for Linfield FC.

What was the final score of Larne FC vs Linfield FC?

Larne FC 1-1 Linfield FC in the North Ireland - Premier League on 24/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Larne FC vs Linfield FC?

Before kick-off our model rated an Linfield FC win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Larne FC 33%, draw 28%, Linfield FC 39%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Linfield FC) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Linfield FC) ✓ Under 2.5
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