Shimizu S-Pulse 1-0 Blaublitz Akita — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J2 League, 24 Mar 2024

📅24/03/2024 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.64
Draw
25%
3.64
Away
25%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.78
Over 2.5
48%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.96
No
54%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
29%
3.05
2-3 Goals
39%
1.78
4-5 Goals
19%
3.83
6+ Goals
13%
16.7
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.05 — our 29% vs market 27.1%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
18%
X/2
8%
X/X
8%
2/1
6%
2/2
12%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
57%
-7.2pp
24%
Draw
24%
-0.0pp
25%
Away Win
18%
+7.2pp
52%
Under 2.5
52%
-0.7pp
48%
Over 2.5
48%
+0.7pp
46%
BTTS Yes
47%
-1.1pp
54%
BTTS No
53%
+1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Shimizu S-Pulse EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Blaublitz Akita EU Bookmakers 21%
-2% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / -4%
1.97/0.46 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.09/1.33
+16% / +91% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / +8%
56% Ball Possession 44%
11 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
320 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 296 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.2 Yellow Cards 1.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Shimizu S-Pulse
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Blaublitz Akita
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
67% Ball Possession 33%
17 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 6
0 Yellow Cards 2
27.08.2023 Blaublitz Akita Blaublitz Akita 1-1 HT 0-0 Shimizu S-Pulse Shimizu S-Pulse JAP2
28.06.2023 Shimizu S-Pulse Shimizu S-Pulse 0-1 HT 0-0 Blaublitz Akita Blaublitz Akita JAP2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Shimizu S-Pulse
1-0
AWAY Blaublitz Akita
62% Ball Possession 38%
18 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 1
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Shimizu S-Pulse vs Blaublitz Akita
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Shimizu S-Pulse squeezed past Blaublitz Akita 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Shimizu S-Pulse as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Shimizu S-Pulse had 62% of the ball to Blaublitz Akita's 38%, shots finished 18-8.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Blaublitz Akita led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Shimizu S-Pulse and 1.00 for Blaublitz Akita.

What was the final score of Shimizu S-Pulse vs Blaublitz Akita?

Shimizu S-Pulse 1-0 Blaublitz Akita in the Japan - J2 League on 24/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Shimizu S-Pulse vs Blaublitz Akita?

Before kick-off our model rated a Shimizu S-Pulse win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Shimizu S-Pulse 50%, draw 24%, Blaublitz Akita 25%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Shimizu S-Pulse), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Shimizu S-Pulse) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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