İngiltere 3-0 Letonya — Result, Statistics & Match Review — World Cup Qualifiers, 24 Mar 2025

İngiltere
3-0 HT 1-0
Letonya
📅24/03/2025 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 ✓ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
World Cup Qualifiers – 2025

İngiltere vs Letonya Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
71%
1.11
Draw
15%
8.78
Away
14%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
30%
4.58
Over 2.5
70%
1.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
3.59
No
50%
1.24
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
15%
10.55
2-3 Goals
40%
2.64
4-5 Goals
27%
2.26
6+ Goals
18%
3.05
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
42%
1.05
1/2
8%
34.5
1/X
3%
34.5
X/1
9%
4.26
X/2
3%
34.5
X/X
7%
22.1
2/1 EV+ ✗
20%
34.5
2/2
3%
34.5
2/X
5%
34.5
Value flag · 2/1 at 34.5 — our 20% vs market 0.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
71%
Home Win
85%
-14.4pp
15%
Draw
8%
+7.0pp
14%
Away Win
6%
+7.4pp
30%
Under 2.5
18%
+11.0pp
70%
Over 2.5
82%
-11.0pp
50%
BTTS Yes
24%
+26.8pp
50%
BTTS No
76%
-26.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

İngiltere v Letonya — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME İngiltere EU Bookmakers 90%
Head to Head
AWAY Letonya EU Bookmakers 9%
+2% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +15% / +15%
2.22/0.28 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.72/2.92
+4% / +97% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +30% / +82%
61% Ball Possession 39%
17 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
448 · 87% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 234 · 78%
35.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 10.0
17.9 Crosses 8.8
0.4 Yellow Cards 2.3

İngiltere 3-0 Letonya — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME İngiltere
3-0
AWAY Letonya
3.57 xG 0.17
73% Ball Possession 27%
27 Total Shots 3
8 Shots on Target 1
10 Corners 2
660 Passes 197
95% Pass Accuracy 77%
70 Box Touches 3
36 Crosses 4
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH İngiltere vs Letonya
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

İngiltere cruised past Letonya 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had İngiltere as the likeliest winner at 71%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (70%) came in.

On the day, İngiltere had 73% of the ball to Letonya's 27%, shots finished 27-3, expected goals 3.57 to 0.17.

What was the final score of İngiltere vs Letonya?

İngiltere 3-0 Letonya in the World Cup Qualifiers on 24/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for İngiltere vs Letonya?

Before kick-off our model rated a İngiltere win the most likely single outcome at about 71%, with the full match-result split İngiltere 71%, draw 15%, Letonya 14%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (İngiltere), Over 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (İngiltere) ✓ Over 2.5
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
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