Madagaskar 0-3 Gana — Result, Statistics & Match Review — World Cup Qualifiers, 24 Mar 2025

Madagaskar
0-3 HT 0-1
Gana
📅24/03/2025 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
World Cup Qualifiers – 2026

Madagaskar vs Gana Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
3.69
Draw
24%
3.11
Away
48%
1.96
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.52
Over 2.5
39%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.13
No
60%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2.21
2-3 Goals
44%
1.73
4-5 Goals
16%
4.91
6+ Goals
6%
30.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
5%
X/2
17%
X/X
10%
2/1
4%
2/2
24%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
24%
+3.9pp
24%
Draw
29%
-4.3pp
48%
Away Win
47%
+0.5pp
61%
Under 2.5
62%
-0.7pp
39%
Over 2.5
38%
+0.7pp
40%
BTTS Yes
43%
-2.4pp
60%
BTTS No
57%
+2.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Madagaskar v Gana — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Madagaskar EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Gana EU Bookmakers 51%
+60% / +60% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +1%
1.72/0.72 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.75/0.54
+67% / +60% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -38% / +44%
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
275 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 401 · 81%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 28.0
– Crosses 4.0
3.0 Yellow Cards 3.0

Madagaskar vs Gana Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Madagaskar
1W-1D-2L
AWAY Gana
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.25
0.74 xG 1.62
38% Ball Possession 62%
8 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 8
182 Passes 394
69% Pass Accuracy 82%
9 Box Touches 29
9 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
17.11.2023 Gana Gana 1-0 HT 0-0 Madagaskar Madagaskar DKE
18.06.2023 Madagaskar Madagaskar 0-0 HT 0-0 Gana Gana AFUK
15.01.2023 Madagaskar Madagaskar 2-1 HT 1-0 Gana Gana AUŞ
01.06.2022 Gana Gana 3-0 HT 0-0 Madagaskar Madagaskar AFUK

Madagaskar 0-3 Gana — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Madagaskar
0-3
AWAY Gana
51% Ball Possession 49%
8 Total Shots 9
2 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 4
0 Passes 3
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Madagaskar vs Gana
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gana cruised past Madagaskar 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Gana as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (60%) landed while under 2.5 goals (61%) missed.

On the day, Madagaskar had 51% of the ball to Gana's 49%, shots finished 8-9.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Gana led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Madagaskar and 1.25 for Gana.

What was the final score of Madagaskar vs Gana?

Madagaskar 0-3 Gana in the World Cup Qualifiers on 24/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Madagaskar vs Gana?

Before kick-off our model rated an Gana win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Madagaskar 28%, draw 24%, Gana 48%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Gana), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Gana) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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