San Marino 1-5 Romanya — Result, Statistics & Match Review — World Cup Qualifiers, 24 Mar 2025

📅24/03/2025 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
13%
12.23
Draw
20%
8.78
Away
67%
1.06
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
38%
2.89
Over 2.5
62%
1.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
3.23
No
47%
1.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
6.48
2-3 Goals
42%
2.13
4-5 Goals
26%
2.42
6+ Goals
14%
4.83
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
4%
34.5
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
4%
34.5
X/1
5%
34.5
X/2
20%
3.81
X/X
11%
15.95
2/1
4%
34.5
2/2
42%
1.07
2/X
5%
34.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
13%
Home Win
5%
+8.5pp
20%
Draw
8%
+12.7pp
67%
Away Win
88%
-21.2pp
38%
Under 2.5
31%
+7.1pp
62%
Over 2.5
69%
-7.1pp
53%
BTTS Yes
27%
+26.6pp
47%
BTTS No
73%
-26.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME San Marino EU Bookmakers 8%
Head to Head
AWAY Romanya EU Bookmakers 94%
-9% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +1%
0.20/3.57 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 4.87/0.10
-46% / -39% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -23% / +150%
38% Ball Possession 62%
8 Total Shots 18
3 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 6
232 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 439 · 85%
2.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 59.0
7.7 Crosses 49.0
3.5 Yellow Cards 0.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME San Marino
1-5
AWAY Romanya
0.65 xG 3.96
25% Ball Possession 75%
1 Total Shots 18
1 Shots on Target 8
2 Corners 10
177 Passes 649
74% Pass Accuracy 90%
5 Box Touches 55
6 Crosses 24
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH San Marino vs Romanya
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Romanya swept aside San Marino 5-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Romanya as the likeliest winner at 67%, and the 5-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (62%) came in.

On the day, San Marino had 25% of the ball to Romanya's 75%, shots finished 1-18, expected goals 0.65 to 3.96.

What was the final score of San Marino vs Romanya?

San Marino 1-5 Romanya in the World Cup Qualifiers on 24/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for San Marino vs Romanya?

Before kick-off our model rated an Romanya win the most likely single outcome at about 67%, with the full match-result split San Marino 13%, draw 20%, Romanya 67%. The final score 1-5 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Romanya), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Romanya) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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