Santa Fe vs Independiente Medellin Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Santa Fe v Independiente Medellin — Team-Based Signals
Santa Fe vs Independiente Medellin Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Santa Fe 2-1 Independiente Medellin — Actual Match Statistics
Santa Fe nicked a narrow win over Independiente Medellin 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.
Our pre-match split (37% / 29% / 34%) promised a tight game; Santa Fe found the edge the numbers couldn't.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.
On the day, Santa Fe had 59% of the ball to Independiente Medellin's 41%, shots finished 18-13, expected goals 1.32 to 1.50.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Santa Fe and 1.33 for Independiente Medellin.
What was the final score of Santa Fe vs Independiente Medellin?
Santa Fe 2-1 Independiente Medellin in the Colombia - Primera on 24/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Santa Fe vs Independiente Medellin?
Before kick-off our model rated a Santa Fe win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Santa Fe 37%, draw 29%, Independiente Medellin 34%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Santa Fe), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.